Doubts

• Oil 價格因 Iran-U.S. 衝突威脅全球供應而飆升，但受 Visa 與 Starbucks 於 2026 年 4 月 29 日發布的強勁財報推動，U.S. 股市在紀錄高點附近展現韌性。 • S&P 500 微跌 0.1%，Dow 下跌 286 點或 0.6%，Nasdaq 上漲 0.1%；根據執行長 Ryan McInerney，Visa 股價受韌性消費支出帶動上漲 8.3%，Starbucks 則受 North America 單次消費支出增加帶動而上漲 8.6%。 • Federal Reserve 官員暗示 2026 年不降息，幾乎消除了投資者的押注，甚至因能源價格引發的通膨而轉向支持升息；債券市場震盪。

Standoff between Iran and US continues as both impose blockades of critical shipping waterway Iranian forces have seized two ships in the strait of Hormuz, as the US and Iran doubled down on imposing separate blockades of the critical shipping waterway that have choked global energy markets.The standoff over the narrow waterway – through which about 20% of the world’s oil and liquefied natural gas passed through during peacetime – raised doubts about whether stalled peace negotiations would resume. Continue reading...

• Oracle reported earnings that exceeded expectations, lifting its stock price, while Adobe continues to face investor skepticism over its AI strategy and competitive positioning amid broader tech sector repricing. • Morningstar downgraded Adobe's economic moat rating alongside Salesforce and ServiceNow, citing concerns that AI disruption could erode traditional software competitive advantages and justify lower valuation multiples. • The broader earnings season reveals a disconnect between traditional valuation metrics and AI disruption risks, prompting investors to reassess which software companies can sustain pricing power and market share in an AI-transformed landscape.

• Adobe's CEO announced his resignation on March 13, 2026, causing the stock to plunge 7.6% in U.S. trading on Friday amid renewed skepticism over its AI initiatives. • The S&P 500 fell 0.6% to around 6,632, with Nasdaq Composite down 0.9%, pressured by oil prices near $100 per barrel from Iran tensions. • This leadership change revives investor concerns about Adobe's competitiveness in AI tools against rivals like OpenAI integrations in competitors.