Loss Oil

• Die US-Marined operationen im Golf von Oman und in der Straße von Hormus haben dem Iran laut Schätzungen des Pentagons, die von Axios berichtet wurden, fast 4,8 Milliarden Dollar an entgangenen Öleinnahmen beschert. • Pentagon-Sprecher Sean Parnell gab unter Berufung auf den Pressesprecher Joel Valdez an, dass die Blockade Sanktionen durchsetze und den maritimen Ölhandel des Irans einschränke, um die Finanzierung militanter Aktivitäten zu schwächen. • Die Straße von Hormuz bleibt als lebenswichtiger globaler Öl-Engpass ein zentraler Punkt der Spannungen, was das Risiko einer Eskalation auf den Energiemärkten und für die regionale Stabilität birgt.

• The S&P 500 fell 2% for its fifth consecutive weekly decline, the first such streak since 2022, amid Mideast conflict de-escalation hopes. • Brent crude rose to $112 per barrel, with U.S. 10-year yields climbing to 4.43% on inflation fears from sustained high energy prices. • BlackRock warns elevated oil could shift focus from rate cuts to whether central bank policies can match rising inflation.

• The S&P 500 declined 1.6% last week, marking its third consecutive weekly drop, with the Dow falling 2% and Nasdaq shedding 1.3% due to soaring oil prices and broad market selling. • Surging oil prices from geopolitical tensions, including US-Iran escalation, drove the downturn, as investors brace for NVIDIA GTC AI event and FOMC rate decision this week (March 16-20, 2026). • Markets now price only a 33% chance of a June rate cut, down from 57% last month, amid persistent inflation data; Thursday's jobless claims will gauge labor market health.

• The S&P 500 declined 1.6% for its third consecutive weekly loss, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 2% and the NASDAQ shed 1.3% as geopolitical tensions and surging oil prices created broad selling pressure across all major indices. • Investors face a critical week ahead with the NVIDIA GTC conference (the "AI Oscars") scheduled alongside the Federal Reserve's FOMC interest rate decision on Wednesday and jobless claims data on Thursday. • Persistent inflation has dramatically shifted market expectations, with traders pricing in just a 33% probability of a June rate cut compared to 57% one month ago, reflecting heightened uncertainty about the Fed's monetary policy path.