ECB Holds Rates as September Hike Risk Intensifies

- On 23 July 2026, the European Central Bank (ECB) decided to keep its three key interest rates unchanged, including maintaining the deposit rate at 2.25%.
- This pause follows a quarter-percentage-point increase in June, as policymakers weigh slowing underlying inflation against renewed pressure from rising oil and gas prices.
- The decision highlights a tension between cooling inflation and upside risks, with hawkish internal debates intensifying.
- Due to these persistent inflationary pressures, the ECB has signaled that a further interest rate hike in September is now a strong possibility.
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