ECB holds rates at 2.25% as the reignited Iran war keeps a second hike in play

- The European Central Bank maintained interest rates at 2.25% on Thursday, pausing after its first rate hike in three years occurred in June.
- While easing inflation provided a temporary reprieve, renewed conflict in the Middle East has driven up energy prices, leaving a second hike possible for autumn.
- Market attention now shifts to the U.S. Federal Reserve's announcement next Wednesday, where futures markets indicate an 89% probability that rates will remain unchanged.
- The Bank of England will follow on July 30; while economists largely expect a hold at 3.75%, nearly 40% of polled experts anticipate at least one more hike before the end of the year.
Sources & Citations
1 sourceMore Stories
Euro Focuses on the ECB - ActionForex
• The European Central Bank (ECB) previously raised its deposit rate by a quarter point to 2.25% following a surge in eurozone consumer prices from 1.9% in February to 3.2% in May. • Recent data shows that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) slowed to 2.8% in June, indicating a cooling trend in inflation.
Read original · actionforex.com
ActionForexWhy Is the UK Stock Market Down Today? FTSE 100, FTSE 250, FTSE 350 & FTSE All-Share Fall Amid Middle East Tension Escalates- What Investors Should Know
• The FTSE 100, FTSE 250, FTSE 350, and FTSE All-Share indices declined today as investors reacted to escalating tensions in the Middle East and global market uncertainty. • Contributing factors to the downturn include rising oil prices, weak corporate updates, and a report from Heathrow Airport showing lower first-half core earnings due to higher tax expenses and travel instability.
Read original · sundayguardianlive.com
The Sunday GuardianFTSE 100: London Benchmark Jumps 1.24% to 10,716.97 as UK Equities Lead the European Rally
• The FTSE 100 index rose by 1.24% (131.06 points) to close at 10,716.97 on Wednesday, 22 July 2026, outperforming other major Western European benchmarks. • Investors are currently evaluating the new UK government's fiscal and regulatory priorities, specifically focusing on the composition of the finance ministry.
Read original · bbntimes.com
BBN TimesEuro weakens as ECB stays on hold, Middle East tensions lift US Dollar
• The Euro weakened to approximately 1.1385 against the US Dollar on Thursday after the European Central Bank (ECB) decided to keep its key interest rates unchanged. • In its policy statement, the ECB highlighted that energy prices remain highly volatile and warned that the full inflationary impact of recent energy shocks has not yet materialized.
Read original · fxstreet.comStock market highlights today: NSE Nifty50 closes below 23,900, BSE Sensex ends over 500 points down as crude prices touch six week high - The Times of India
• The BSE Sensex plummeted over 500 points and the NSE Nifty50 closed below 23,900, reflecting a sharp downturn on Dalal Street. • The decline was primarily driven by crude oil prices hitting a six-week high, alongside escalating geopolitical tensions and currency weakness.
Read original · timesofindia.indiatimes.comIndian billionaire Adani weighs airline launch that could reshape market: sources - The Business Times
• Indian billionaire Gautam Adani is considering the launch of a new airline, according to sources cited by The Business Times. • This potential move marks a strategic shift for the Adani Group, which already maintains a significant infrastructure footprint by operating eight airports across India.
Read original · businesstimes.com.sgGlobal Market: BNP Paribas Q2 profit jumps 33% on strong trading, retail rebound; beats estimates - The Economic Times
• BNP Paribas reported a 33% increase in second-quarter net profit to €4.35 billion, surpassing analyst expectations. • The growth was primarily driven by strong equity trading, a recovery in retail banking, and gains from its insurance partnership with Ageas.
Read original · economictimes.indiatimes.comGlobal Market: European shares slip as tech stocks drag; ECB policy decision in focus - The Economic Times
• European shares declined as technology stocks faced pressure from weak semiconductor earnings and growing concerns regarding AI spending. • Energy stocks saw gains as escalating tensions in the Middle East drove up Brent crude oil prices.
Read original · economictimes.indiatimes.comGlobal Market: ECB seen holding rates steady while keeping September hike option open - The Economic Times
• The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to keep interest rates steady during its upcoming policy meeting. • While holding rates, policymakers are likely to signal that further hikes remain a possibility for September.
Read original · economictimes.indiatimes.comEuropean Market Highlights 3 Stocks That May Be Trading At A Discount - Simply Wall St News
• Amidst volatility in the STOXX Europe 600 Index, investors are seeking undervalued opportunities based on corporate earnings and geopolitical trends. • Momentum Group AB, a Nordic industrial component supplier with a SEK7.23 billion market cap, is highlighted as potentially trading at a discount.
Read original · simplywall.stSunrise Market Commentary - ActionForex
• The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to keep its main policy rate steady at 2.25% during today's meeting. • Investors are closely monitoring the ECB for hints regarding potential policy shifts in September, which will include updated economic forecasts.
Read original · actionforex.com
ActionForex