Forecasting the upcoming week: What if the ECB… and US CPI…?
- The US Dollar experienced high volatility last week, dropping from three-week highs to multi-day lows.
- Market fluctuations were driven by a combination of bond market movements, geopolitical tensions, and actions by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan.
- Traders and investors face increased uncertainty as the currency remains tilted toward the negative side.
- Economic data including preliminary Coincident and Leading Economic indexes will be released on September 7, followed by the final Q2 GDP Growth Rate on September 8.
Sources & Citations
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U.S. Hiring Jumps, an Encouraging Sign for the Economy - The New York Times
• U.S. employers added 162,000 jobs in August while the unemployment rate remained steady at 4.1 percent. • Federal Reserve official Mr. Barr stated that the government should act decisively to raise interest rates if inflation does not moderate sufficiently.
Read original · nytimes.comICE Interest Rate Futures Hit Record 14.5M Open Interest
• ICE reported that its interest rate futures reached a record 14.5 million open interest contracts. • Euribor futures accounted for 5.8 million of those contracts, contributing to a 36% year-over-year increase across ICE's financial derivatives complex.
Read original · stocktitan.net
Stock TitanWeek Ahead for FX, Bonds : U.S. Inflation Data in Focus; ECB Expected to Raise Rates - Europe
• Investors are focusing on upcoming U.S. inflation data and an expected interest rate hike from the European Central Bank. • Poland's central bank is expected to keep its key interest rate unchanged at 3.75% during its decision on Wednesday.
Read original · europesays.comBefore the Bell: What every Canadian investor needs to know today - The Globe and Mail
• North American markets rallied and Wall Street futures trended positive as a global bond selloff eased. • Major markets closed up yesterday as investors shifted focus toward upcoming U.S. economic data.
Read original · theglobeandmail.com
The Globe and MailEuropean stocks stabilize from 1-month lows as weak payrolls data check rate bets By Investing.com
• European stocks have stabilized after hitting one-month lows as weak payrolls data and cautious signals from the New York Fed temper interest rate hike expectations. • New York Fed President John Williams stated that policymakers must "wait and see" incoming economic indicators before committing to further tightening.
Read original · ng.investing.comCautious equity gains seen, focal points ahead of the weekend include US jobs data
• Asian equity markets are seeing cautious gains as investors focus on upcoming US jobs data, geopolitical tensions involving Iran, and movements of the Yen. • Bank of England chief economist Pill suggested the bank rate needs to be raised to 4%.
Read original · fxstreet.comLive Updates: Jobs Data to Offer Clues on Economy’s Health - The New York Times
• The Labor Department is set to release its monthly jobs report this Friday to clarify whether the economy is maintaining strong growth despite persistent inflation. • Investors are currently treating the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision as a close call.
Read original · nytimes.comThe job market in 2035: More nurses, fewer secretaries.
• Investors are analyzing labor market trends and upcoming hiring data to gauge the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate decisions amid persistent inflation. • The Labor Department is scheduled to release its monthly jobs report this Friday.
Read original · nytimes.comStop making this mistake when looking at the economic calendar
• Traders are cautioned against focusing solely on high-impact economic calendar events and should instead track the shifting policy stances of influential central bank members. • Fed Governor Christopher Waller's recent shift from hawkish to dovish comments caused significant market movement.
Read original · investinglive.com
investingLiveDollar steadies ahead of jobs report as traders pullback hawkish bets By Investing.com
• The U.S. dollar has stabilized as traders reduce their bets on hawkish monetary policy shifts ahead of an upcoming employment report. • Market participants are adjusting expectations based on the anticipated jobs data, though specific percentage shifts were not provided.
Read original · ng.investing.comEuropean stocks rise as global bond selloff eases By Reuters
• European stock markets rose as the global bond selloff eased, providing a more stable environment for equity investors. • Simultaneously, the Bank of Canada opted to hold interest rates steady amid economic uncertainty driven by fluctuating oil prices and potential tariffs.
Read original · ca.investing.com