Prediction Markets Favor Democrats for Senate Control in 2026 Midterms

• President Donald Trump lashed out at the Supreme Court and District Judge Boasberg in a social media post full of falsehoods, claiming courts treat him unfairly. • Chief Justice John Roberts defended the Supreme Court, stating 'It’s got to stop' regarding personal invective against judges. • The attacks coincide with increased violent threats against federal judges ruling against the administration, as reported by multiple outlets.

• Governor Gavin Newsom announced California is suing the Trump administration for unlawfully repealing the EPA's Endangerment Finding on climate change, prioritizing polluter profits over public health. • Attorney General Rob Bonta stated the rescission breaks the law, with California joining prior coalitions of 24 states representing 55% of U.S. population to oppose the move. • California Air Resources Board Chair Lorne Piexot criticized the repeal as anti-science abandonment of protections, vowing vigorous court defense to safeguard communities and resources.

• Congress introduced a bipartisan bill on March 19, 2026, to establish guidelines scrutinizing AI use in U.S. federal courts amid growing Capitol Hill concerns. • Clear federal AI standards for judiciary remain absent; the measure addresses broader technology risks in government operations. • Related updates include Senate panel vote on DHS Secretary nominee Markwayne Mullin and Sen. Bernie Sanders forcing votes on $658 million Israel arms sales.

• Lawmakers reviewed 27 bills on March 18, 2026, in the House Veterans’ Affairs Committee to update VA health care, accountability, education, and workforce programs, many unchanged for 30 years. • Proposals include 12 Republican-led and 15 Democrat-led bills expanding dental coverage, VA mental health for incarcerated veterans with PTSD, and aligning drug formularies with industry standards. • Chairman Bost stressed reauthorization as a tool to fix underperforming programs; bills also update leasing, contracts, and protect 30% veteran VA staff from layoffs via Rep. Tim Kennedy's act.

• Sen. Martin Heinrich (D-N.M.) criticized the Republican SAVE Act on March 18, 2026, as 'one of the most extreme voter suppression bills in recent history.' • The bill mandates in-person proof of citizenship like passports, which 140 million Americans lack, banning online, mail, and automatic registration. • It would disenfranchise rural voters, veterans, and women changing names, despite existing laws prohibiting noncitizen voting under penalty of perjury.

• The House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform advanced nine bills on March 19, 2026, to safeguard American taxpayers and ensure efficient use of federal funds. • Key measures include H.R. 7934 requiring agencies to publish settlement agreements online, doubling whistleblower cash awards to $20,000, and mandating Treasury reports on fiscal risks from crises amid $38 trillion debt. • Legislation reforms FFATA for accurate USAspending.gov data and recognizes special districts for federal aid, addressing unreported funds including national security spending.

• Rep. Van Taylor's bill mandating deportation of illegal immigrants convicted of fraud passed the House of Representatives on March 19, 2026. • The legislation targets non-citizens involved in fraudulent activities, aiming to strengthen immigration enforcement. • Passage reflects ongoing Republican priorities on border security and public safety amid rising immigration debates.

• The American Library Association condemned H.R. 7661's passage by the House Education and Workforce Committee on March 17, 2026, calling it a 'dangerous' censorship bill. • The vague language risks defunding schools for materials deemed 'sexually oriented,' including art, history, and Virginia's state flag, treating 17-year-olds like kindergartners. • ALA urges opposition, highlighting threats to LGBTQIA+ stories and civil rights, and supports the Right to Read Act for library funding.

• President Trump confronts a pivotal Iran war decision on deploying U.S. troops to seize Tehran's enriched uranium, deemed essential by nuclear experts but politically risky amid vows against prolonged Middle East conflicts. • Sen. Richard Blumenthal (D-Conn.) warned that securing uranium requires a physical U.S. presence, criticizing Trump's 'confused and chaotic objectives,' while Sen. Rick Scott (R-Fla.) noted no briefing exists on alternatives to boots on the ground. • Sen. James Risch (R-Idaho) cited multiple plans on the table without details, as Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth emphasized available options without specifics; Trump claimed strikes neutralized the nuclear threat.

• Political operatives tied to Trump, including those from Safe America Media and People Who Think, secured DHS contracts for a $220 million public awareness ad campaign launched amid urgent needs. • The March 3 DHS memo justified limited competition with 10-12% commissions below the 15% industry norm, marking it as the most expensive U.S. government marketing effort in the past decade outside military and COVID campaigns. • The campaign featured Gov. Kristi Noem in a cowboy hat at Mount Rushmore, sparking White House friction and perceptions of her positioning for a future political run without Trump's direct approval.

• The US national debt exceeded $39 trillion on Wednesday, a record milestone reached just weeks into the US-Israeli war in Iran, driven by competing priorities including tax cuts, defense spending, and immigration enforcement. • White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett estimated the Iran war has cost more than $12 billion so far, with the federal debt having grown from $37 trillion two months ago to $38 trillion five months ago, now reaching $39 trillion. • The Government Accountability Office warns rising debt increases borrowing costs for mortgages and cars, reduces business investment and wages, and makes goods and services more expensive for Americans.