S&P 500 Tracking Worst Month Since March 2025 Amid Iran Conflict Uncertainty

• Elemental Royalty (ELE) reported a 128% revenue increase for 2025, significantly exceeding previous guidance and providing strong signals for royalty sector growth into 2026. • piHarrow (HROW) launched a $50 million senior unsecured notes offering to fund expansion, demonstrating continued corporate access to debt markets despite broader market uncertainty. • RenX (RENX) announced a reverse stock split as a remedial measure to regain Nasdaq compliance, with implications for share float and liquidity dynamics.

• Three historical factors that preceded double-digit stock-market declines are present simultaneously in 2026, according to DataTrek co-founder Nicholas Colas, signaling heightened risk for U.S. equity investors. • The S&P 500 has dropped 4.7% in March alone and is down 4.2% year-to-date, on track for its worst monthly performance since March 2025 and first quarterly loss since Q1 2025. • Despite warning signs, Colas maintains a cautiously optimistic outlook, stating there is still time to avoid a double-digit loss if Middle East tensions de-escalate swiftly and crude-oil prices decline.

• U.S. equities declined on March 24, 2026, following a stock recovery on Monday, as the Middle East conflict reignited investor concerns and weighed on market sentiment. • The selloff occurred after initial optimism earlier in the week, with mounting concerns about geopolitical risks affecting trading activity throughout the session. • The market downturn reflects broader volatility as investors grapple with the implications of escalating tensions in the region and their potential impact on oil prices and corporate earnings.

• H.E.R.C. Products (HERC, PNK) skyrocketed 18,950% during market hours on March 24, 2026, emerging as the top gainer. • The massive surge highlights extreme volatility in penny stocks amid broader market pressures from oil spikes and geopolitical news. • No specific catalysts detailed, but the move underscores speculative trading in small-cap names during uncertain times.

• S&P 500 dropped 0.80%, Dow Jones fell 0.83%, and Nasdaq 100 declined 0.98% in early trading on March 24, 2026, amid Middle East tensions. • Crude oil surged over 4% to $91.80, up $3.67, as Iran's parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf denied US negotiations, contradicting President Trump's claims of productive talks. • Citi analysts warn prolonged conflict could push oil to $200 per barrel, heightening inflation fears and pressuring equities.

• Bank of America reinstated coverage of Microsoft (MSFT) with a Buy rating and $500 price target, implying 31% upside potential on March 24, 2026. • Analysts cite durable multi-year growth in cloud and AI, positioning Microsoft to capitalize across infrastructure and applications. • The reaffirmation comes amid tech sector pressure from geopolitical tensions, highlighting AI monetization as a key beneficiary.

• Morningstar identifies three core stocks as overvalued on March 24, 2026, recommending investors scale back holdings. • Estee Lauder shares declined after reports of Japan's Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group exploring a takeover, while Puig shares rallied in Madrid. • The analysis urges taking profits amid high valuations, with Estee Lauder in turnaround mode showing minimal reaction to news.

• U.S. stocks closed higher on Monday, March 23, 2026, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 1.4% or 631 points to 46,208.47 amid hopes of easing Middle East tensions. • Nasdaq Composite advanced 1.4% to 21,946.76 led by Albemarle Corporation's 3.5% gain, while S&P 500 gained 1.2% or 74.52 points to 6,581.00 with all 11 sectors positive. • Consumer Discretionary (XLY), Materials (XLB), and Technology (XLK) sectors rose 2.5%, 1.5%, and 1.5% respectively; VIX fell 2.4% to 26.15 on higher trading volume of 27.94 billion shares.

• Micron Technology reported blowout earnings results, while Nvidia issued a stunning outlook for its Blackwell and Rubin AI products, yet the broader market has not responded positively to either announcement. • Morningstar increased Micron's fair value assessment following its earnings beat, and upgraded Nvidia's fair value based on the company's AI product roadmap expansion. • The muted market response to strong tech earnings reflects ongoing concerns about macroeconomic headwinds, including geopolitical risks and Federal Reserve policy decisions that are weighing on investor sentiment.

• Brent crude oil prices showed modest gains of approximately 1% despite elevated geopolitical rhetoric, indicating potential underestimation of conflict escalation risks by the energy market. • Energy price volatility is creating supply chain pressures and financial stress for corporations, with rising energy costs cited as a major factor in corporate capacity reduction decisions and market-wide weakness. • The US government's expanding influence over global energy markets reflects efforts to manage price stability and geopolitical risks, with EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin discussing energy policy responses on financial media.

• Rising yields across US and international bond markets reflect growing inflation expectations stemming from the energy shock caused by the Iran-US conflict, with 10-year gilts rising 14 basis points. • Market participants are increasingly betting on a Federal Reserve rate hike later this year as inflation anchoring concerns mount amid geopolitical disruptions to energy supplies. • The bond market deterioration follows Friday's significant equity selloff and signals potential monetary policy tightening ahead, with the Fed focused on ensuring inflation expectations remain anchored despite external supply shocks.