The Full Risk-On Stack

- Intermarket signals across trends, rotation, commodities, and Treasuries are currently unanimously aligned in a "risk-on" posture.
- The framework utilizes the 200-day Moving Average as a binary trigger to determine leverage, allocating to SSO (2x leveraged S&P 500) when prices are above the average and SPY when below.
- This strategy is based on historical data showing that above-200 environments typically yield positive forward returns and shallower drawdowns compared to below-200 regimes.
- Despite the bullish signals, the author advises cautious position sizing due to some underlying disagreement among specific indicators.
Sources & Citations
1 sourceMore Stories
Sensex Today | Nifty 50
• The Indian stock market declined on Monday, with the Sensex ending 307 points lower and the Nifty 50 falling below the 24,100 mark. • The downturn was driven by investor concerns over rising US bond yields and hawkish comments from US Fed Chair Kevin Warsh regarding potential interest rate hikes.
Read original · economictimes.indiatimes.comMarket Roundup 31 August 2026 - KAOHOON INTERNATIONAL
• Thailand’s SET Index closed at 1,595.16 points on August 31, 2026, marking an increase of 6.94 points (0.44%) with a total trading value of THB 75.81 billion. • The market experienced volatility, trading lower during the morning session due to concerns over the U.S. Federal Reserve's hawkish monetary policy stance.
Read original · kaohooninternational.com
KAOHOON INTERNATIONALIndia’s economy expands 7.8% in April-June quarter By Investing.com
• India's economy grew by 7.8% during the April-June quarter, reflecting strong macroeconomic momentum. • The growth figure indicates a robust expansion of the country's overall GDP during the first quarter of the fiscal period.
Read original · in.investing.comShare sales in focus: Firms rush to raise funds amid improving market sentiment - The HinduBusinessLine
• Indian companies are accelerating share sales with the goal of raising over $20 billion to capitalize on strong investor demand and improving market sentiment. • Firms are primarily utilizing Qualified Institutional Placements (QIPs) to secure capital for strategic expansions, new acquisitions, and the reduction of existing debt.
Read original · thehindubusinessline.comStock market today: Live updates - United States
• Investors are closely monitoring the U.S. stock market as they await critical economic data this week. • The primary focus is the August jobs report, which is scheduled for release on Friday morning.
Read original · europesays.com
IranEUR/USD Price Forecast: Gains ground to near 1.1600, bullish vibe prevails above 100-day SMA
• The EUR/USD currency pair rose to approximately 1.1590 during early European trading on Monday, maintaining a bullish trend above the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). • Potential gains may be capped as traders increase bets on a U.S. interest rate hike following hawkish comments from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh.
Read original · fxstreet.comTop stocks to buy: Stock recommendations for August 31, 2026 week - check list - The Times of India
• Motilal Oswal Wealth Management Research Desk has released its top stock recommendations for the week beginning August 31, 2026. • The research desk specifically identified Titan and L&T Finance as the primary stocks to buy for investors.
Read original · timesofindia.indiatimes.comThe Week Ahead - 8/30/26 - by Neil Sethi
• Analyst Neil Sethi outlines the key economic and equity drivers for the week of August 30, 2026, focusing on valuations, sentiment, and Federal Reserve activity. • The Q2 earnings season concludes with 10 S&P 500 components reporting, including high-market-cap firms Broadcom (AVGO) on Wednesday, as well as Dell, Medtronic (MDT), and Palo Alto Networks (PANW).
Read original · neilsethi.substack.com
SubstackTop Financial Stocks To Keep An Eye On – August 27th - Markets Daily
• MarketBeat’s stock screener tool identified seven key financial stocks to monitor on August 27th. • The highlighted companies include major players such as Bank of America, Visa, Coinbase Global, Intuit, Robinhood Markets, Circle Internet Group, and BitMine Immersion Technologies.
Read original · themarketsdaily.comWall Street Week Ahead
• Wall Street enters September with a heavy focus on AI spending and key economic indicators, including the August jobs report and the Federal Reserve's Beige Book. • A wave of tech earnings is scheduled, with Dell Technologies reporting Tuesday, followed by Broadcom, Snowflake, and Hewlett Packard Enterprise on Wednesday to gauge AI server demand.
Read original · seekingalpha.comGDP data, crude prices among 7 factors likely to steer D-Street this week - The Economic Times
• Indian equity markets are expected to be driven by seven key factors this week, including India's first-quarter GDP data and US jobs numbers. • Other critical influences include fluctuations in crude oil prices, institutional investment flows, and overall global sentiment regarding the technology sector.
Read original · economictimes.indiatimes.comGDP data, crude oil prices likely to drive stock markets in week ahead
• Stock markets are expected to be highly volatile in the coming week, driven primarily by the release of domestic GDP data and global economic reports. • Key indicators influencing market movement will include crude oil price fluctuations, auto sales numbers, and the trading activity of foreign investors.
Read original · business-standard.com
