Who's buying U.S. Treasury debt, and why?

- The U.S. Treasury is borrowing heavily from global bond markets to finance national deficits, increasing the country's reliance on foreign creditors.
- Analysis by Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti of the Hutchins Center indicates that U.S. borrowing costs and financial stability are now more vulnerable to shifts in global sentiment than in previous years.
- This exposure highlights a critical need for sound fiscal fundamentals to serve as a buffer against potential volatility in foreign demand for U.S. assets.
- The report further examines official measures of foreign direct investment in the U.S., suggesting a need for downward revisions to these figures.
Sources & Citations
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ZB Futures Outlook: Long Bond Squeezed Between Fiscal Supply and Sticky Inflation
• The 30-year Treasury bond futures market has declined throughout the year as investors demand higher yields to hold long-duration government debt. • Persistent inflation and elevated oil prices, driven by a six-month conflict between the U.S. and Iran, are putting upward pressure on bond yields.
Read original · barchart.comGold and bitcoin surge after US bond market selloff; UK economy on ‘firmer footing’ - as it happened | Business
• Bitcoin has reached its highest price level since mid-May, driven by a weakening US dollar and a selloff in the US bond market. • EU residents were advised in 2025 to stockpile 72 hours of food, water, and essentials to prepare for cyber-attacks and climate disasters like the wildfires in France and Spain.
Read original · theguardian.comBessent's 'toolkit,' American brands in China, data center backlash and more in Morning Squawk
• California Attorney General Rob Bonta stated in a CNBC interview on Thursday that any settlement regarding the Paramount merger would require "robust structural remedies." • Bonta is leading a coalition of 12 states challenging the merger on antitrust grounds to prevent unfair market consolidation.
Read original · cnbc.comBessent says Treasury buyback operation could be more than $4 billion
• Treasury Secretary Bessent announced a potential buyback operation exceeding $4 billion to "make a market" in longer-dated securities. • The move targets securities like the 30-year bond, which has seen yields surge to levels not witnessed since before the 2008 global financial crisis.
Read original · cnbc.comWarsh faces Fed independence test as Bessent moves in on central bank's turf
• Potential Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is seeking to lower long-term Treasury yields, a move that may encroach on the Federal Reserve's traditional monetary policy domain. • This creates a policy tension for Kevin Warsh, who must determine the appropriate boundaries of coordination between the Treasury and the Fed regarding bond markets and the balance sheet.
Read original · cnbc.comBessent Flags Bigger Debt Buyback Potential, Coming Fiscal Plan - Bloomberg
• Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced plans to expand the government's efforts to buy back costlier debt to manage federal liabilities. • The administration is preparing to unveil a new fiscal initiative specifically designed to address the highest borrowing costs seen in several years.
Read original · bloomberg.comHave European stocks turned a corner?
• Investors are reassessing European stocks after a bearish start to the year, noting that while corporations remain resilient, they still struggle to compete with US equity performance. • Stuart Kirk of the Financial Times argues that the Euro Stoxx 50's 11.1% annualized return over the last decade is underwhelming compared to US peers, despite the success of firms like ASML.
Read original · moneyweek.com
MoneyWeekWhy markets care more about the signal than the size of the Treasury buyback
• Treasury buybacks have recently lifted technology stocks, specifically benefiting chipmakers, cryptocurrency, and Moderna. • Market analysts argue that the "signal" of easing financial conditions and Scott Bessent's pledge for further action is more significant than the actual size of the buybacks.
Read original · investinglive.com
investingLiveDollar Risks Becoming Biggest Loser From Bessent’s Bond Buying
• Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is planning a bold intervention involving bond buying to prevent a potentially damaging increase in US borrowing costs. • Shoki Omori, chief fixed income strategist for Japan at Deutsche Bank AG, warns that providing greater liquidity support for Treasuries typically occurs at the expense of the currency.
Read original · finance.yahoo.com
Yahoo! FinanceStocks Muted Before the Open as Treasury Rally Fades, U.S. Economic Data on Tap
• U.S. stock futures are showing mixed, muted movement ahead of the market open, with S&P 500 E-Mini futures down -0.03% and Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures up +0.05%. • Market direction remains uncertain as a recent rally in Treasuries has faded and investors await upcoming U.S. economic data.
Read original · barchart.comFinance, Education Ministers Brief Media on Fiscal Strategy Meeting - Seoul Economic Daily
• Planning and Budget Minister Park Hong-keun and Education Minister Choi Kyo-jin held a joint media briefing on August 21, 2026, following the first Fiscal Management Strategy Council meeting in Seoul. • The meeting focused on resolving ongoing disputes between the two ministers regarding proposed reforms to the local education finance grant.
Read original · en.sedaily.com
Seoul Economic Daily