Factors Watch

• Indian equity markets, including the Nifty and Sensex, have declined for five consecutive sessions due to rising oil prices, geopolitical tensions, and persistent foreign institutional investor (FII) outflows. • Technical indicators show continued weakness, with the Nifty currently facing a key support level near 23,600 and resistance around 24,000. • Investors are closely monitoring five critical factors this week to determine market direction: the US Federal Reserve meeting, Q1 corporate earnings, rupee fluctuations, and crude oil trends.

• Indian markets are expected to remain volatile with a positive bias as investors focus on June quarter earnings and the impact of renewed West Asia tensions on oil prices and the rupee. • Global attention will shift to the European Central Bank's policy meeting on July 23, where economists generally expect interest rates to remain unchanged. • Investors will also monitor Japan’s inflation data and flash PMI figures to gauge future interest rate directions and economic health.

• Market participants are closely monitoring geopolitical tensions in West Asia and fluctuations in crude oil prices as primary drivers for upcoming market trends. • Investors will analyze domestic economic health through the release of Industrial Production (IIP) data, foreign exchange reserves, and final HSBC PMI readings for manufacturing and services. • Additional critical factors influencing market sentiment include the activity of foreign investors and the progress of the southwest monsoon.

• Investors are closely monitoring renewed tensions between the US and Iran as they enter the coming trading week. • A primary focus for market participants will be the potential impact of these geopolitical frictions on global crude oil prices. • These factors are among 10 key drivers identified by Moneycontrol that could influence volatility on Dalal Street.

• India and the US will initiate a four-day round of talks starting Monday to finalize the details of a proposed interim trade agreement. • Market analysts, including Geojit Investments' Dr. V K Vijayakumar, note that Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) are shifting capital from India to the US, Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan. • This capital flight is driven by superior earnings growth and strong AI-related trade in those developed markets compared to poor earnings growth within India.