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• The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has given South Korea the largest growth outlook upgrade among the world's 30 major economies. • This upward revision is primarily driven by a massive boom in semiconductors fueled by the global surge in artificial intelligence (AI) technology. • The growth in the tech sector is significant enough to offset economic headwinds caused by ongoing conflicts in the Middle East.

• The IMF reports that top AI hardware exporters, including South Korea, Taiwan, Malaysia, and Thailand, outperformed growth forecasts by an average of 4.4 percentage points in Q1. • South Korea saw significant success, with an annualized growth rate of 7.5%—over four times the 1.8% projection—as semiconductor exports offset high energy costs. • Vietnam's 2026 growth forecast was raised by 0.4 percentage point to 7.5% due to the surge in technology exports.

• The International Monetary Fund (IMF) warned on Wednesday that renewed geopolitical conflict in the Middle East would negatively impact global economic growth and increase inflation. • This warning follows an announcement by President Donald Trump that the U.S. ceasefire and peace process with Iran has officially ended. • The situation is critical because instability in the region often disrupts energy markets, potentially leading to higher oil prices and broader financial volatility.

July update projects GDP growth of 1% this year, making UK the third fastest-growing economy in the G7The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has upgraded its growth forecast for the UK, while leaving those for other G7 countries weaker or unchanged, amid hopes the economic impact of the Iran war may be less severe than feared.In a July update of its World Economic Outlook, which was finalised before the latest outbreak of hostilities in the Middle East, the Washington-based organisation projected UK gross domestic product to grow by 1% this year – up 0.2 percentage points from its April forecast. Continue reading...

• IMF official Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas stated in a June 27 interview with Reuters that the US dollar remains the primary anchor for global trade, banking, and foreign exchange reserves. • Gourinchas noted that there is currently very little evidence to suggest the world is shifting away from a dollar-centered financial system. • This assessment is significant as it counters narratives regarding the "de-dollarization" of the global economy and the rise of alternative currencies.

• Indian stock markets are focusing on key companies including Coal India, Zee, IMFA, Tata Elxsi, Saatvik, and GPT Infraprojects for trading on Wednesday, May 27, 2026. • Global sentiment is bolstered by MSCI’s Asian equities gauge, which climbed 1.1% to reach an all-time high. • South Korea's market surged up to 5%, driven by strong AI investment interest and the performance of chipmaker SK Hynix Inc.

Washington-based fund praises Rachel Reeves for aiming to cut budget deficit as it upgrades growth forecastsBusiness live – latest updatesThe International Monetary Fund has urged Britain to “stay the course” to cut government borrowing amid growing bond market concerns over a Labour leadership challenge.As Keir Starmer battles to cling on to power, the Washington-based fund said it was important to continue reducing the budget deficit “given market pressures and elevated implementation risks”. Continue reading...

• The International Monetary Fund (IMF) issued a May 7, 2026 alert on growing dangers to global financial stability from artificial intelligence, warning that AI is simultaneously empowering both defensive and offensive cyber capabilities. • Advanced AI models now dramatically reduce the time and cost required to uncover and exploit system vulnerabilities, enabling faster and more widespread attacks that could cascade across interconnected financial markets and infrastructure. • Anthropic's Claude Mythos Preview model demonstrated breakthrough autonomous cyber abilities, identifying and exploiting vulnerabilities in major operating systems and browsers even when operated by non-specialists, signaling how rapidly AI is tilting advantage toward attackers.

• Pakistan secured a $6 billion IMF bailout package on Monday after the International Monetary Fund approved a revised structural adjustment program focused on tax increases and subsidy reductions. • The agreement requires Islamabad to implement value-added tax increases and privatize state-owned enterprises within the next 18 months, measures intended to stabilize the country's external account deficit. • The U.S. welcomed the agreement, with Treasury officials noting that Pakistan's fiscal stabilization is important for regional economic security and counterterrorism financing oversight.

• IMF lowered its 2026 global growth forecast to 3.1% from 3.3% due to US-Iran conflict impacts. • The cut assumes contained conflict with 19% energy price rise, but escalation could drop growth to 2%. • 2027 outlook held at 3.2%, with effects expected to ease by mid-2026.

Conflict is pushing up price of energy and food, fuelling higher borrowing costs and hitting growth, report saysIran war escalation could trigger global recession, IMF warnsBusiness live – latest updatesThe Iran war risks triggering a rise in global debt levels, forcing governments to choose between cushioning a cost of living shock and maintaining sound public finances, the International Monetary Fund has warned.Against a volatile backdrop of the Middle East conflict, the Washington-based fund said the war could add to the already strained position of government finances throughout the world. Continue reading...

Chancellor faced with fund’s forecast that impact of Iran war will leave Britain as G7’s biggest loserIran war escalation could trigger global recession, IMF warnsThe Iran war is bad news for the global economy. But for some countries, the unfolding conflict is having a bigger impact than for others. The International Monetary Fund’s verdict is that Britain is the G7’s biggest loser.Amid the rising damage from the Middle East war, the Washington-based fund warned UK economic growth rate would be 0.5 percentage points lower this year than it had predicted back in January – the biggest downgrade among the club of wealthy nations. Continue reading...

As treasurer Jim Chalmers weighs ‘extreme uncertainty’, one economic scenario sees global growth plunging to just 2% in 2026Get our breaking news email, free app or daily news podcastThe International Monetary Fund has warned the US-Israel war on Iran risks creating an “energy crisis of an unprecedented scale” that could tip the global economy towards recession.The grim warning contained in the IMF’s latest World Economic Outlook comes as Jim Chalmers prepares to attend the organisation’s spring meetings in Washington DC this week, where he said he would be “joining with other countries continuing to call for an enduring end to the war”. Continue reading...

UK suffers sharpest downgrade and is predicted to face joint highest inflation in G7 as growth forecasts are cutBusiness live – latest updatesA further escalation in the Iran war could trigger a global recession, spiralling inflation and a sharp backlash in financial markets, the International Monetary Fund has warned.Against an increasingly volatile backdrop, the Washington-based fund said the economic damage from the Middle East conflict was steadily rising as it cut its growth forecasts for 2026 based on the impact from the war so far. Continue reading...

• Finance ministers and central bank governors gathered in Washington for IMF and World Bank Spring Meetings are confronting an unprecedented global energy shock caused by the Iran war and Strait of Hormuz closure, according to IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva. • Georgieva warned that "there will be no neat and clean return to the status quo ante," indicating long-term economic impacts regardless of ceasefire outcomes or efforts to reopen shipping routes. • The energy crisis is already affecting hundreds of millions of people globally, with decisions made at the meetings regarding resource allocation and emergency funding expected to have tangible impacts on livelihoods in the coming weeks.

Kristalina Georgieva says even ‘most hopeful scenario’ will lead to growth downgrade and cause permanent hit to living standardsBusiness live – latest updatesThe head of the International Monetary Fund has warned that the Iran war will permanently scar the global economy even if a durable peace deal in the Middle East can be reached.In a speech delivered as the ceasefire in the conflict threatens to unravel, Kristalina Georgieva said the “scarring effects” caused by the war to date would mean slower global growth this year than first anticipated. Continue reading...

Analysis shows they are reliant on market investors such as hedge funds, which contributed $4tn last yearBusiness live – latest updatesEmerging economies are at greater risk of higher interest rates and currency shocks as a result of the Iran war because of increased reliance on market investors such as hedge funds, the International Monetary Fund has warned.The IMF’s analysis shows that a cumulative $4tn flowed into emerging markets last year from outside the formal banking sector – including from hedge funds and investment funds. Continue reading...

• The International Monetary Fund's Executive Board concluded its 2026 Article IV Consultation on April 2, stating there is "little room to cut interest rates in 2026" despite moderating inflation expectations. • The IMF projects U.S. GDP growth will reach 2.4% in 2026, up from 2.0% in 2025, while the federal funds rate is forecast to decline only from 3.6% to 3.4% — representing barely a single rate cut for the entire year. • Inflation is on track to hit the 2% target by early 2027, but the IMF warns that growth will peak this year and slowly decay toward 1.8%, while U.S. debt continues climbing annually.

Washington-based fund says rising energy and food costs will hit economies worldwide and could leave lasting scarsThe International Monetary Fund has warned that “all roads lead to higher prices and slower growth worldwide” should the conflict in the Middle East continue to throttle the amount of oil, gas and fertiliser making its way out of the Gulf.In a stark message that countries on all continents will be affected, the Washington-based organisation said a rise in energy and food costs would harm economic growth this year and could leave lasting scars on the global economy. Continue reading...