Inflation Data

• Asian stock markets rose on Wednesday, July 15, 2026, following a positive rally on Wall Street. • The surge was triggered by new U.S. economic data indicating that inflation last month was lower than economists had previously anticipated. • This trend is significant as cooling inflation in the U.S. often signals potential shifts in monetary policy, boosting investor confidence globally.

• US stocks advanced on Tuesday following the release of consumer price data showing a decline in inflation. • The softer inflation figures are significant as they reduce the immediate pressure on the Federal Reserve to implement further interest rate hikes. • Despite the general market rise, IBM shares plummeted 25% after the company reported preliminary quarterly sales that fell short of analyst expectations.

• Fed Chairman Kevin M. Warsh testified before Congress on Tuesday regarding the economic threats posed by rising energy prices. • The testimony follows new data showing the Consumer Price Index slowed to an annual inflation rate of 3.5 percent in June. • Warsh advocated for a shift toward private-sector data and new technologies to gain a real-time understanding of the economy.

• Wall Street stocks remained steady following a report indicating that U.S. inflation for last month was lower than economists had initially anticipated. • IBM shares experienced a significant plunge, while the ASX is positioned for a rise in upcoming trading. • Investors are shifting focus toward the start of the quarterly earnings season, with companies reporting profits from April through June.

• US stocks rose following a report indicating that inflation last month was lower than economists had initially projected. • Major financial institutions, including JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, and Bank of America, reported quarterly profits that exceeded analyst expectations. • Investors are now shifting focus to the broader earnings season for the April-June period to see if company growth justifies current record-high stock prices.

• US stock futures for the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq indicated a mixed opening on Tuesday, July 14. • Investors are closely monitoring the market amid elevated oil prices and the release of quarterly banking earnings. • The primary focus for traders is the upcoming release of US inflation data, which will likely influence future monetary policy.

• Wall Street is poised for a lower open, with S&P 500 E-Mini futures down 0.29% and Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures dropping 0.94%. • The decline is driven by a chip sector selloff sparked by losses among South Korean peers, specifically impacting SK Hynix. • Investors are awaiting the Federal Reserve's Beige Book and the start of second-quarter corporate earnings to gauge economic health.

• Investors are focusing on a high-impact week featuring the release of June Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data and testimony from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh on Tuesday. • Several major banks will report quarterly earnings, with executives expected to provide updates on the U.S. economy, trading activity, and the outlook for mergers and acquisitions. • Market sentiment remains mixed as JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon warned of potential stagflation and Goldman Sachs Chief David Solomon noted that uncertainty could hinder IPOs.

• Indian stock markets are entering a new trading week as the June-quarter (Q1) earnings season gains momentum. • Investors are closely monitoring key economic indicators, including inflation data, crude oil price fluctuations, and global macroeconomic trends. • These factors, along with upcoming corporate actions, are expected to provide the primary trading cues and set the overall market direction.

• Wall Street is entering a critical week as investors prepare for a combination of corporate earnings reports and key inflation data releases. • Market participants are closely monitoring Federal Reserve commentary and economic figures to determine the future direction of interest rates and monetary policy. • Heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East remain a primary concern, posing potential risks to global energy supplies and market stability.

• Wall Street investors are preparing for a critical week focused on upcoming consumer and wholesale inflation data to gauge the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy. • Market participants will monitor key economic indicators, including retail sales, industrial production data, and the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book, alongside major bank earnings. • These reports are vital for determining the central bank's outlook on economic growth and potential interest rate decisions.

• The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) recently announced methodological changes to how price changes are calculated across three subcategories of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation measure. • While the BEA asserts these adjustments are technically defensible, the timing is politically sensitive as inflation remains a primary concern for policymakers and the public. • These tweaks are significant because the PCE is a preferred inflation gauge for the Federal Reserve, and changes to its calculation can result in "sunnier" or lower reported inflation data.

• Investors are focusing on the week of July 5th to July 13th, with a primary emphasis on China's June CPI and PPI data scheduled for release on July 9. • Market analysts are monitoring for a "K-shaped divergence" in prices and potential weaknesses in June's macro indicators, specifically regarding credit expansion and capital utilization. • Other critical global events include the release of the Federal Reserve meeting minutes and the U.S. stock market debut of SK Hynix.

Calls are growing for new datacentre approvals to be halted until stronger protections are consideredGet our breaking news email, free app or daily news podcastTransport for NSW and the Reserve Bank have warned datacentres could take scarce land from logistics firms and housing developments, pushing up prices and overheating the economy, as calls grow for a national pause on the booming sector.The rapid growth of datacentres has raised concerns for the transport and logistics sector, with Transport for NSW telling the state parliament inquiry on datacentres there was already significant pressure on the availability of industrial land and infrastructure. Continue reading...

• Investors are focusing on the upcoming June US jobs report this Thursday and falling gasoline prices, both of which are expected to ease inflationary pressures. • In Europe, new eurozone inflation data will serve as a critical test for the European Central Bank's (ECB) future interest rate hike expectations. • Market participants are also monitoring Monday's June economic sentiment indicator to see if the eurozone economy shows improvement following a sluggish PMI.

• Economist Mohamed A. El-Erian highlighted that the U.S. May Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data is scheduled for release tomorrow. • The PCE report is a critical metric closely monitored by both financial markets and the Federal Reserve to gauge price stability. • This data is significant because it informs the Federal Reserve's decisions regarding future interest rate adjustments and monetary policy.

War’s impact on UK cost of living more muted than first forecast suggesting fuel price rises have failed to spill out more widely across UK plcUK inflation stays at 2.8% as slowing food prices offset transport costsBusiness live – latest updatesAs soon as Iran choked off oil supplies through the strait of Hormuz at the start of March, there were dire warnings about rocketing UK inflation and the drastic action the Bank of England might take to rein it in.At one point, investors were expecting as many as three quarter-point rises in interest rates before the end of the year – a sharp turnaround from earlier forecasts of rate cuts. Continue reading...

• Stock futures declined on Wednesday, led by sharp drops in technology shares, as investors await a critical upcoming inflation report. • Oil prices increased following U.S. "self-defense strikes" against Iran and comments from President Donald Trump stating that Iran has "taken too long to negotiate a deal." • The market volatility reflects growing economic uncertainty regarding inflation and heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

• Federal Reserve policymakers indicated Wednesday they are unlikely to cut interest rates in the near term, citing persistent inflation pressures that exceed the central bank's 2% target. • Multiple Fed officials, including those from major regional banks, cited "hotter-than-expected" March inflation readings as justification for holding rates steady through at least mid-2026. • Market expectations for rate cuts have shifted significantly, with futures traders now pricing in the first possible cut in September 2026 rather than June, reflecting the hawkish pivot.

• The 10-year Treasury yield declined 18 basis points to 3.82% following the cooler-than-expected inflation reading, marking the steepest single-day drop in three months and reflecting a significant repricing of Fed rate cut probability. • Bond investors rushed into longer-duration securities as real yields compressed, with the 2-year Treasury sliding 12 basis points to 3.45%, indicating heightened expectations for near-term monetary easing. • The yield curve steepening trend accelerated, with the 10-2 spread widening to 37 basis points, suggesting market consensus that the Fed will begin cutting rates this spring while maintaining a measured approach to further reductions.