Market Volatility

• Global financial markets experienced significant volatility during April 12-18, 2026, driven by geopolitical tensions impacting commodity prices. • Oil prices surged higher amid international tensions, affecting energy stocks and broader market sentiment across equities and bonds. • India's retail investor base continues reshaping capital markets, contributing to shifts in the financial landscape alongside global macroeconomic pressures.

• Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies experienced significant price fluctuations as geopolitical tensions surrounding the Iran conflict escalated, with investors reassessing risk exposure.

• A US fighter jet was shot down over Iranian territory on April 3, 2026, intensifying the US-Israeli war on Iran that began with airstrikes on February 28 targeting nuclear sites and leadership. • The incident prompted immediate retaliatory concerns, with Bitcoin prices wavering amid rising geopolitical risk premiums affecting crypto markets globally. • Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz has triggered the largest oil supply disruption since the 1970s, spiking energy prices and impacting US economy.

• Bitcoin price fell to $66,710.43 at 8:45 a.m. ET on March 31, 2026, down $1,112 from prior day and $15,830 from recent peak. • Decline reflects ongoing cryptocurrency market pressures in US trading. • Highlights volatility impacting tech investment sectors tied to digital assets.

• Financial advisors are recommending patience for investors amid extreme market swings, noting that historical data shows staying invested typically outperforms reactive selling during crises—even during wartime. • The S&P 500 has retreated to levels not seen since August 2025, with three major indexes all significantly below their recent peaks as geopolitical uncertainty continues to roil markets. • Investment strategists emphasize that while current volatility is unsettling, panic-driven decisions often lock in losses and can result in missed opportunities for recovery.

• Brent crude oil prices showed modest gains of approximately 1% despite elevated geopolitical rhetoric, indicating potential underestimation of conflict escalation risks by the energy market. • Energy price volatility is creating supply chain pressures and financial stress for corporations, with rising energy costs cited as a major factor in corporate capacity reduction decisions and market-wide weakness. • The US government's expanding influence over global energy markets reflects efforts to manage price stability and geopolitical risks, with EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin discussing energy policy responses on financial media.

A judge rejected subpoenas targeting Fed Chair Jerome Powell on March 13, 2026, preventing potential disruptions during a tense market session as indexes fell. The decision came amid broader equity declines, with S&P 500 down 0.5% and Nasdaq off 0.67% in afternoon trading. This ruling stabilizes central bank communications at a critical juncture for monetary policy amid inflation pressures. Markets may now focus on upcoming PCE data releases without subpoena overhang.