Projects

• CMS actuaries forecast U.S. health spending at $5.3 trillion in 2024, outpacing economic growth to hit 20% of GDP by 2033. • Projections highlight unsustainable trajectory for national health expenditures. • Policymakers face pressure to address cost drivers in insurance, drugs, and services.

• Nvidia is projecting a trillion-dollar chip market while the AI industry shifts focus from training giant models to inference, robotics, and real-world deployment at GTC 2026 in San Jose. • CEO Jensen Huang spotlighted new systems and platforms aimed at industrial use cases and physical AI applications, signaling that commercial viability increasingly depends on inference economics and enterprise adoption. • The market shift reflects where spending is heading: training remains critical, but applied AI and infrastructure orchestration are becoming more investable than generic model-building pitches.

• Energy Secretary Chris Wright told NBC News that gasoline prices could decline by summer despite ongoing disruptions from the Iran war and threats to global oil supplies. • The forecast suggests potential relief from elevated energy costs that have accompanied the three-week conflict, though oil markets remain volatile due to Iranian actions in the Strait of Hormuz and retaliatory attacks on regional infrastructure. • The projection reflects administration confidence in energy supply alternatives and market stabilization even as the conflict continues to create supply-chain uncertainties.

• US Energy Secretary Chris Wright told NBC News that gasoline prices could decline by summer despite current elevations caused by Iran war-related supply disruptions and Strait of Hormuz tensions. • The projection offers some relief to consumers facing inflationary pressures from energy markets, contingent on conflict de-escalation or resolution within the coming months.

• IDC forecasts global security spending will hit $308 billion in 2026, up from prior years, with the U.S. leading at $150 billion fueled by financial services, healthcare, and government sectors. • Software will account for over 50% of spending, including identity and access management, endpoint security, and analytics, growing 14% year-over-year amid AI-powered threats. • Fastest-growing categories like CNAPP and data security software address AI workloads and non-human identities, as companies prioritize integrated architectures for resilience.