Tensions Strait

• Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy commenced large-scale military exercises in the Persian Gulf on April 1, deploying multiple warships and missile systems near the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz. • US Central Command deployed additional naval assets to the region in response, with Pentagon officials stating the move is designed to "ensure freedom of navigation" and protect commercial shipping lanes critical to global energy markets. • The Iranian exercises follow recent diplomatic tensions and represent the latest in a series of military posturing events that have increased risk premiums on global oil prices by approximately 3% this week.

• Brent crude oil prices rose 3.2% to USD 103.42 per barrel, while US oil prices increased 2.9% to USD 96.21 per barrel due to Strait of Hormuz tensions and reduced vessel movement. • The Trump administration plans to ease sanctions on Venezuela's oil sector by issuing permits for foreign companies, aiming to boost crude production and counter soaring prices. • Global oil markets remain volatile as the Strait of Hormuz, through which 13 million barrels pass daily, faces ongoing disruptions from the Iran conflict.

• West Texas Intermediate crude topped $100 per barrel for the first time since 2022 in early Monday trading, while Brent held above $102, driven by ongoing Middle East conflict in the Strait of Hormuz entering its third week. • Several tankers successfully transited the waterway over the weekend, lifting market sentiment; however, WTI pulled back to $95 by late trading, down over 3%, as President Trump pressured NATO allies to help break Iran's blockade. • The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq rose as investors weighed the dual impact of potential Hormuz reopening against inflation concerns; Federal Reserve officials begin a two-day policy meeting this week amid uncertainty over rate path decisions.