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Robert Hayward memprediksi Reform akan menjadi pemenang besar, merebut kursi baik dari Labour maupun Conservatives. Selamat pagi. Kita sekarang memasuki pekan terakhir kampanye untuk Scottish parliament, Welsh Senedd, dan pemilihan lokal Inggris. Keir Starmer semula merencanakan pidato besar hari ini, tetapi ia, dan para pemimpin politik lainnya, hari ini berfokus pada respons mereka terhadap penikaman di Golders Green dan ancaman antisemitisme yang dihadapi komunitas Yahudi Inggris – yang digambarkan sebagai “darurat keamanan nasional” oleh Jonathan Hall KC, peninjau independen pemerintah untuk undang-undang teror. Berikut adalah berita semalam kami. Dan berikut adalah blog langsung kami oleh Taz Ali. Taz akan meliput sebagian besar reaksi politik terhadap berita tersebut, sehingga hal itu bukan sesuatu yang akan saya liput di sini. (Dan karena proses pidana sedang berjalan, komentar terkait serangan tersebut tidak akan diperbolehkan di kolom komentar, mohon maaf.) Lanjutkan membaca...

• Pasar minyak terguncang karena Donald Trump tampak bersedia mempertahankan blokade US Navy dan Iran membuat strait of Hormuz nyaris tertutup sepenuhnya • Harga Brent oil melonjak di atas $126 per barel pada hari Rabu, level tertingginya sejak 2022, setelah Donald Trump memperingatkan blokade terhadap pelabuhan Iran bisa berlangsung berbulan-bulan dan pembicaraan damai tetap menemui jalan buntu • Melonjak lebih dari 13% dalam 24 jam, Brent crude mencapai rekor harga sejak perang dimulai pada 28 Februari

Ursula von der Leyen later due to meet new Hungarian leader who is seeking to unlock EU funds in return for reformsVon der Leyen says that “every member state has a different energy mix,” so no blanket EU solution would work.But she calls for more coordination not just on common procurement, but also on fuel reserves, “especially jet fuel and diesel, where markets are tightening.”“ Let us use this to make the switch to electricity – not just in transport, but also in industry and heating. This is not only a matter of affordability and competitiveness; this is also a matter of economic security. Thus, speaking of European independence, this is the moment to electrify Europe.”“This is the second energy crisis within four years, and the lesson should be very clear. Our overdependency on imported fossil fuels makes us vulnerable. … We must reduce our overdependency on imported fossil fuels and boost our home-grown, affordable, clean energy supply. From renewables to nuclear, in full respect of technology neutrality.” Continue reading...

Niesr says even under best-case scenario, economy would grow at slower pace in 2026 and 2027 because of conflictBritain is facing a £35bn economic hit and the risk of a recession this year as the fallout from the Iran war adds to the pressure on Keir Starmer’s government, a leading thinktank has warned.The National Institute of Economic and Social Research (Niesr) said that even under a best-case scenario the UK economy would grow at a much slower pace this year and next because of the Middle East conflict. Continue reading...

Israeli strikes killed 14 people and wounded 37 on Sunday, Lebanon's health ministry said, as the Israeli military warned residents to leave ‌seven towns beyond the "buffer zone" it occupied before a ceasefire that has failed to fully halt hostilities.

Rabbis Charley Baginsky and Josh Levy say criticising Israeli government is not disloyalty but a Jewish obligationThe UK’s most senior progressive rabbis have warned that Israel’s current political direction risks becoming “incompatible with Jewish values”, while insisting that criticism of the country’s government is “a Jewish obligation” rather than an act of disloyalty.Rabbi Charley Baginsky and Rabbi Josh Levy, co-leads of Progressive Judaism – the newly formed movement representing around a third of synagogues in the UK – said Israel’s trajectory could pose an “existential threat” not just to the country itself but to Judaism. Continue reading...

Australia is dependent upon UK’s ability to deliver new submarines, but report finds ‘cracks are already beginning to show’ “Cracks are already beginning to show” in the UK’s funding for the Aukus agreement that could derail the ambitious nuclear submarine plan, a British parliamentary inquiry has found, highlighting a threat to Australia’s security.UK shipbuilding has been under-funded for decades and the country’s submarine availability is “critically low”, the House of Commons defence committee’s report found. Continue reading...