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Robert Hayward는 Reform당이 노동당과 보수당 양측으로부터 의석을 빼앗으며 큰 승리를 거둘 것이라고 예측합니다. 좋은 아침입니다. 이제 스코틀랜드 의회, 웨일스 Senedd 및 잉글랜드 지방 선거를 위한 캠페인이 마지막 주에 접어들었습니다. Keir Starmer는 오늘 중대 연설을 계획했으나, 그와 다른 정치 지도자들은 현재 Golders Green 흉기 난동 사건과 영국 유대인 공동체가 직면한 반유대주의 위협에 대한 대응에 집중하고 있습니다. 정부의 독립 테러 입법 검토관인 Jonathan Hall KC는 이를 “국가 안보 비상사태”라고 묘사했습니다. 여기 밤사이 소식이 있습니다. 그리고 Taz Ali의 라이브 블로그도 확인해보세요. Taz가 해당 사건에 대한 정치적 반응의 대부분을 다룰 예정이므로, 이곳에서 제가 따로 다루지는 않겠습니다. (현재 형사 절차가 진행 중이므로, 안타깝게도 해당 공격과 관련한 댓글 작성은 허용되지 않습니다.) 계속 읽기...

Donald Trump가 US Navy 봉쇄를 유지할 의향이 있는 것으로 보이고 Iran이 Strait of Hormuz를 거의 폐쇄함에 따라 Oil 시장이 술렁이고 있습니다. Donald Trump가 Iran 항구에 대한 미국의 봉쇄가 수개월간 지속될 수 있다고 경고하고 평화 협상이 교착 상태에 머물면서, 수요일 Brent oil 가격은 2022년 이후 최고치인 배럴당 $126 위로 치솟았습니다. 24시간 만에 13% 이상 급등한 Brent crude는 전쟁이 시작된 2월 28일 이후 최고가를 기록했습니다. 2022년 Russia의 Ukraine 침공 이후 Brent가 $120를 넘은 적은 없었으며, 당시 가격은 $139로 정점을 찍었습니다. Continue reading...

Ursula von der Leyen later due to meet new Hungarian leader who is seeking to unlock EU funds in return for reformsVon der Leyen says that “every member state has a different energy mix,” so no blanket EU solution would work.But she calls for more coordination not just on common procurement, but also on fuel reserves, “especially jet fuel and diesel, where markets are tightening.”“ Let us use this to make the switch to electricity – not just in transport, but also in industry and heating. This is not only a matter of affordability and competitiveness; this is also a matter of economic security. Thus, speaking of European independence, this is the moment to electrify Europe.”“This is the second energy crisis within four years, and the lesson should be very clear. Our overdependency on imported fossil fuels makes us vulnerable. … We must reduce our overdependency on imported fossil fuels and boost our home-grown, affordable, clean energy supply. From renewables to nuclear, in full respect of technology neutrality.” Continue reading...

Niesr says even under best-case scenario, economy would grow at slower pace in 2026 and 2027 because of conflictBritain is facing a £35bn economic hit and the risk of a recession this year as the fallout from the Iran war adds to the pressure on Keir Starmer’s government, a leading thinktank has warned.The National Institute of Economic and Social Research (Niesr) said that even under a best-case scenario the UK economy would grow at a much slower pace this year and next because of the Middle East conflict. Continue reading...

Israeli strikes killed 14 people and wounded 37 on Sunday, Lebanon's health ministry said, as the Israeli military warned residents to leave ‌seven towns beyond the "buffer zone" it occupied before a ceasefire that has failed to fully halt hostilities.

Rabbis Charley Baginsky and Josh Levy say criticising Israeli government is not disloyalty but a Jewish obligationThe UK’s most senior progressive rabbis have warned that Israel’s current political direction risks becoming “incompatible with Jewish values”, while insisting that criticism of the country’s government is “a Jewish obligation” rather than an act of disloyalty.Rabbi Charley Baginsky and Rabbi Josh Levy, co-leads of Progressive Judaism – the newly formed movement representing around a third of synagogues in the UK – said Israel’s trajectory could pose an “existential threat” not just to the country itself but to Judaism. Continue reading...

Australia is dependent upon UK’s ability to deliver new submarines, but report finds ‘cracks are already beginning to show’ “Cracks are already beginning to show” in the UK’s funding for the Aukus agreement that could derail the ambitious nuclear submarine plan, a British parliamentary inquiry has found, highlighting a threat to Australia’s security.UK shipbuilding has been under-funded for decades and the country’s submarine availability is “critically low”, the House of Commons defence committee’s report found. Continue reading...