Gulf

• President Donald Trump has threatened that Iran will be "hit very hard" if the Strait of Hormuz is not reopened "very soon." • Despite these threats, a Gulf official indicates there is a 50-50 chance of an Iran-Oman deal regarding the strait by Friday. • While Tehran denies current talks with the US, sources suggest technical negotiations are expected to resume Thursday morning, provided ground developments allow.

• A new front of conflict is reopening in Yemen, driven by the broader regional war between the United States and Iran. • While neither Saudi Arabia nor the Houthi rebels currently desire prolonged hostilities, both risk being trapped in an escalatory spiral. • This development is critical because it threatens to destabilize the region further, making a peaceful exit strategy for the primary actors more difficult to achieve.

• Military hostilities have renewed in the Gulf region, with escalating strikes overshadowing diplomatic efforts to resolve the conflict. • Both opposing sides are continuing a cycle of retaliation, with neither party showing a willingness to reduce tensions or lower the temperature. • This escalation is critical because it brings the region closer to an all-out war that could threaten both regional and global security.

• On February 28, 2026, American and Israeli air forces conducted nearly 900 strikes against Iran, resulting in the death of the Iranian Supreme Leader. • In immediate retaliation for the strikes, Tehran closed the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global maritime chokepoint for oil transport. • The escalation represents more than a regional conflict, signaling a fundamental shift in the "grammar of global power" and the geography of geopolitical influence.

• In August 2025, US scientists conducted the first federally approved ocean alkalinity enhancement experiment by releasing 16,500 gallons of sodium hydroxide (lye) into the Gulf of Maine. • The operation utilized a bright pink dye to track the spread of the lye plume across the water's surface. • This initiative aims to reverse rising ocean acidity and increase the ocean's capacity to absorb CO2 from the atmosphere to combat climate change.

Storm warnings stretch from Florida to Louisiana as Bertha brings heavy rain, flooding risk and possible tornadoesTropical Storm Bertha strengthened in the Gulf of Mexico and was moving slowly toward the Florida Panhandle and Alabama, causing a tropical storm warning and storm surge watches, forecasters said.The storm was about 110 miles (177km) south of Panama City, Florida, and 170 miles (274 km) south-east of Mobile, Alabama, the Miami-based National Hurricane Center (NHC) said Tuesday morning. It was moving north-west at 5mph (8 kph) with maximum sustained winds of 50mph (80 kph). Continue reading...

Depression set to become tropical storm later on Monday as separate storm strengthens off Mexico’s Pacific coastA tropical depression was continuing to develop along the US Gulf coast on Monday as Tropical Storm Fausto strengthened off Mexico’s south-west Pacific coast.The National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami said that the depression was expected to become a tropical storm later on Monday, prompting new watches for portions of the Gulf region. Continue reading...