Pce

• The U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index for May met expectations, with headline inflation at 4.1% and core inflation at 3.4%. • Consumer spending rose by 0.7%, exceeding the 0.6% forecast, while personal income accelerated sharply by 0.7%, significantly beating the 0.4% consensus estimate. • This resilience in consumer demand and income growth suggests that households can sustain spending despite elevated borrowing costs.

• The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report, reached a three-year high in May. • This surge in prices indicates that inflation remains persistent, complicating the central bank's efforts to stabilize the economy. • The data suggests the Fed will likely keep interest rates steady for now, though the possibility of further rate hikes remains on the table if inflation does not dissipate.

• The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis released the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index data for May. • As the Federal Reserve's preferred gauge for measuring inflation, this data is critical for determining future monetary policy and interest rate decisions. • Market participants are analyzing the results to see if inflation trends align with the Fed's targets or present a surprise that could shift the economic outlook.

The U.S. PCE inflation index reached 3.1% in February 2026 data released March 13, exceeding forecasts and fueling concerns over persistent price pressures. This reading, alongside Brent oil hitting $100, pushed back expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts into late 2026. Economists note the figure complicates the Fed's dual mandate amid slowing GDP growth. Markets now price in steady rates through mid-year.