Risk

• Il Fondo Monetario Internazionale (IMF) ha emesso un'allerta il 7 maggio 2026 sui crescenti pericoli per la stabilità finanziaria globale derivanti dall'intelligenza artificiale, avvertendo che l'IA sta potenziando simultaneamente sia le capacità di cyber-difesa che quelle offensive. • I modelli di IA avanzati riducono ora drasticamente il tempo e i costi necessari per scoprire e sfruttare le vulnerabilità dei sistemi, consentendo attacchi più rapidi e diffusi che potrebbero propagarsi a cascata attraverso i mercati finanziari e le infrastrutture interconnesse. • Il modello Claude Mythos Preview di Anthropic ha dimostrato capacità di cyber-attacco autonomo rivoluzionarie, identificando e sfruttando vulnerabilità in principali sistemi operativi e browser anche quando utilizzato da non specialisti, segnalando quanto rapidamente l'IA stia spostando il vantaggio a favore degli attaccanti.

• La scommessa di Uber sui data-centre in India viene inquadrata come parte di una più ampia strategia tecnologica e di costo, con l'azienda che valuta le scelte infrastrutturali mentre crescono i rischi guidati dall'IA. • L'analisi rileva che circa il 90% degli utenti avanzati di IA sta riducendo in qualche modo le spese di business process outsourcing, sottolineando come l'automazione stia rimodellando i budget aziendali. • Questo sviluppo è rilevante per l'ecosistema tech aziendale dell'India poiché collega la domanda di infrastrutture cloud alla rapida adozione di strumenti di IA e al cambiamento dei modelli di outsourcing.

I ricercatori hanno scoperto che oltre 50 ore a settimana possono essere dannose per la salute, mentre responsabilità più leggere hanno un effetto positivo • Lo stress e le tensioni derivanti dall'assistenza a qualcuno per 50 ore o più a settimana portano a un "declino cognitivo accelerato" nelle persone di mezza età e negli anziani, mostra la ricerca. • Tuttavia, prestare assistenza solo per cinque o nove ore a settimana ha l'effetto opposto, migliorando così tanto la salute del cervello che i benefici durano fino alla vecchiaia. Continua a leggere...

• L'istituzione afferma che potrebbe esaurire i fondi entro il 2031 e intende tagliare oltre 600 posti accademici e di supporto • Migliaia di dipendenti dell'Università di Nottingham sono stati invitati a prepararsi al licenziamento nell'ambito di drastici tagli finanziari che, secondo gli accademici, danneggeranno il futuro dell'istituzione. • L'amministrazione dell'università ha inviato lettere a 2.700 dipendenti martedì, notificando loro che il loro ruolo è a rischio di ridondanza dopo che la dirigenza ha dichiarato che i fondi potrebbero esaurirsi entro il 2031. Continua a leggere...

Se l'attuale e precario cessate il fuoco tra USA e Iran dovesse interrompersi, gli Emirati avrebbero maggiori probabilità di diventare un bersaglio di Tehran Crisi in Medio Oriente: aggiornamenti in diretta Il rischio che alcuni stati del Golfo rimangano coinvolti in una guerra diretta con l'Iran è aumentato dopo le notizie secondo cui gli Emirati Arabi Uniti avrebbero lanciato segretamente un importante attacco all'Iran durante il conflitto. Inoltre, il Kuwait ha dichiarato che almeno quattro membri del Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps sono stati catturati mentre tentavano di sferrare "attacchi terroristici" sull'isola di Bubiyan, di proprietà kuwaitiana e la più grande della catena costiera del Kuwait. Continua a leggere...

• Juliette Binoche si unisce a 600 figure di spicco per mettere in guardia contro una "presa fascista dell'immaginario collettivo". • Più di 600 personalità del cinema hanno dichiarato che la crescente influenza dell'estrema destra sulla produzione cinematografica francese rischia di trasformarsi in una "presa fascista dell'immaginario collettivo". • In una lettera aperta pubblicata sul quotidiano Libération in occasione dell'apertura del festival di Cannes, hanno affermato che la posizione dominante del miliardario Vincent Bolloré nella produzione e distribuzione cinematografica francese minaccia l'indipendenza del settore. Continua a leggere...

• I repubblicani stanno perseguendo aggressivamente l'ottenimento di seggi extra alla Camera attraverso il ridisegno dei collegi, ma la strategia potrebbe rivelarsi contro in modo significativo. • Questa spinta rischia di energizzare i democratici e di alienare nuovi elettori chiave, portando potenzialmente a perdite nette invece che a guadagni. • Ciò assume importanza nel contesto delle battaglie di metà mandato, poiché potrebbe minare il controllo del GOP sulla Camera nonostante le mappe favorevoli in alcuni stati.

• Il Market Snapshot di maggio 2026 di Charles Schwab avverte che il rischio di concentrazione contrasta con le strategie di diversificazione in un contesto di leadership di mercato ristretta. • I report sugli utili del primo trimestre 2026 mostrano prestazioni costanti, riassunte dalle prospettive 'Feelin' Alright' nonostante i venti contrari a livello macroeconomico. • Le forze macroeconomiche continuano a plasmare i mercati creditizi, influenzando i portafogli di investimento e le allocazioni settoriali.

• Gli esperti avvertono delle vulnerabilità dei 'bersagli facili' e delle lacune nei servizi di intelligence mentre le agenzie federali si preparano a mettere in sicurezza 78 partite in 11 città. • Le partite della Fifa World Cup che si terranno negli Stati Uniti affrontano rischi terroristici accresciuti, con esperti che avvertono che le vulnerabilità sono amplificate dal conflitto tra Stati Uniti e Israele con l'Iran e da un impoverimento delle competenze antiterrorismo all'interno delle forze dell'ordine federali. • La minaccia maggiore proviene da estremisti violenti interni, spesso attori singoli che potrebbero essere stati radicalizzati online da visioni politiche estreme o jihadisti come lo Stato Islamico (Isis), hanno dichiarato quattro esperti di contrasto al terrorismo intervistati. Continua a leggere...

• Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (HKEX) ha annunciato il 7 maggio 2026 il lancio della sua nuova piattaforma di monitoraggio del rischio di mercato potenziata dall'IA, che integra l'analisi in tempo reale dei pattern di connettività e controlli di conformità basati su modelli linguistici per i messaggi di trading. • Il sistema, sviluppato con un partner fintech di IA con sede a Hong Kong, analizza più di 4,8 milioni di eventi nel book degli ordini al secondo e può segnalare automaticamente pattern manipolativi altamente probabili, come lo quote spamming, il wash-trading e il quote-stuffing. • HKEX prevede che la piattaforma ridurrà gli avvisi di falsi positivi del 45% rispetto ai sistemi legacy basati su regole, alleggerendo il carico di lavoro degli addetti alla conformità e consentendo una risposta più rapida alle anomalie del mercato in tempo reale.

• An analysis of 1.5 million Medicare beneficiaries showed older US adults receiving the recombinant subunit zoster vaccine (Shingrix) were less likely to develop dementia. • Published findings from MedPage Today on May 5, 2026, highlight the vaccine's potential protective effect against dementia in seniors. • This matters as it suggests vaccination could reduce dementia incidence amid rising Alzheimer's cases, a leading cause of excess US deaths per Boston University research.

Donald Trump insists ceasefire remains intact after the most serious test yet. Plus, David Attenborough’s 100 most spectacular momentsGood morning.The US and Iran traded fire late on Thursday in the greatest test so far to their month-long ceasefire. Tehran accused Washington of breaching the truce by targeting two ships in the strait of Hormuz and attacking civilian areas, while the US said it struck in retaliation.Where were negotiations up to before the strikes? There were reports the two sides could be nearing an agreement to halt the war, with a one-page memorandum shared between Washington and Tehran, via Pakistan. Here is a rundown of the ins and outs over the past week.What happened to Trump’s “Project Freedom”? The US plan to guide tankers through the strait of Hormuz was ditched just days after it was launched, apparently because Saudi Arabia refused to let the US use its bases and airspace to carry out the operation.Follow our liveblog for the latest developments.How has the redistricting affected the sway of Black voters? Each now contains a third of the city’s Black voters, which means all nine of Tennessee’s congressional districts now lean Republican. Continue reading...

• India's Department of Financial Services Secretary has raised alarms over Anthropic's new AI model, stating it has amplified global cybersecurity concerns. • The development has drawn attention from banking regulators worldwide, prompting calls for immediate action to mitigate potential risks from this AI advancement. • This warning underscores the escalating threats posed by advanced AI in financial sectors, urging regulatory bodies to prioritize safeguards amid rapid technological changes.

Partnership between top startup DeepL and Amazon comes amid concern about Silicon Valley’s monopoly over digital infrastructureAI companies in Europe risk losing their world-leading status in the field of machine translation, industry figures have said, after the decision by one of the continent’s leading startups to partner with Amazon’s cloud computing division provoked alarm.While businesses in the EU have generally lagged behind the US and China in AI adoption, a small group of European companies have cornered the global market for high-quality machine translations for professional use. Continue reading...

New owner Modella Capital, which rebranded shops to TG Jones, blames weak consumer spending Dozens of former WH Smith stores are likely to close, putting thousands of jobs at risk under a radical restructuring plan by their new owner, which had rebranded the shops to TG Jones,The investment company Modella Capital, which bought WH Smith’s chain of 480 high street stores for £76m last year, blamed “weak consumer spending” as it set out the plan to landlords on Wednesday. Continue reading...

Researchers say 481-metre wave in fjord was triggered by rockslide linked to climate crisisA mega tsunami in Alaska last year in a fjord visited by cruise ships is a stark warning of the risks of coastal rockslides and glacier retreat fueled by the climate crisis, a new study warns.Scientists recorded the world’s second-tallest tsunami after it struck the Tracy Arm fjord in south-east Alaska last August after a massive rockslide around the toe of a glacier. The tsunami reached 481 metres (1,578ft) in height; by comparison the Eiffel Tower is 330 metres (1082ft). Continue reading...

• Singapore's Monetary Authority (MAS) met with chief executives of major financial institutions to discuss AI-related cyber threats, prompted by Anthropic's limited release of its Mythos model. • The Cyber Security Agency of Singapore issued a letter urging critical information infrastructure owners to commission board-level reviews of their cyber-risk posture in response to emerging AI security concerns. • The coordinated regulatory response underscores Singapore's proactive stance on managing AI-driven cybersecurity risks in the financial sector and critical infrastructure.

Data tool could help NHS prioritise who gets access to limited weight-loss medication, say scientistsA new tool that can shed light on who is most at risk of obesity-related diseases could help identify people who would benefit most from weight-loss medications, researchers have said.Recent data suggests about two-thirds of adults in England are overweight or obese – a situation that has caused concern among health experts. Continue reading...

Interim report contains 14 recommendations, after inquiry examined agencies’ actions before the attack in which 15 people were killedFollow our Australia news live blog for latest updatesGet our breaking news email, free app or daily news podcastSydney’s Jewish community told police of a “high” threat of an attack at December’s Chanukah by the Sea festival at Bondi beach, but NSW police appeared not to have completed a comprehensive risk assessment for the event, an interim royal commission report has found.The interim report of the royal commission into antisemitism and social cohesion, established in the wake of December’s terror attack, found no gap in current laws that could have prevented the shooting. But it did call for greater better coordination of policing at Jewish festivals and events. Continue reading...

No individual or group has claimed responsibility for flag, which appeared on 120-metre Spire in SeptemberWhat goes up must come down – unless it’s a Palestinian flag at the top of Dublin’s tallest monument that no one knows how to remove.The flag appeared on the 120-metre Spire on O’Connell Street last September and for seven months it has defied every proposed measure to take it down. Who installed it and how remains a mystery. Continue reading...

Exclusive: 839,000 homes in urban areas face threat of surface-water flooding, with social housing tenants most vulnerable to costsEight in 10 of the homes that are at high risk of flooding in England are now in towns and cities, according to analysis by the National Housing Federation (NHF), which said social housing tenants are disproportionately vulnerable to the financial cost.Research found that 839,000 homes in urban areas are now classed as being at high risk of surface water flooding, a threefold increase since 2018. Continue reading...

Delegates at event in Cape Verde highlight opportunities from tech while stressing AI is no replacement for talentLast July, the Nigerian singer-songwriter Fave found herself caught up in a viral moment: an unauthorised version of a track featuring an AI choir had been released, quickly becoming an internet sensation. To get ahead of the situation, she recorded her own remix that integrated the AI-assisted song and added it to her discography.“In my view, [that] was smart and very business aware,” Oyinkansola Fawehinmi, a Lagos-based entertainment lawyer, observed a few months later. “She essentially reclaimed the ‘AI version’ and released it as her own official expression.” Continue reading...

Niesr says even under best-case scenario, economy would grow at slower pace in 2026 and 2027 because of conflictBritain is facing a £35bn economic hit and the risk of a recession this year as the fallout from the Iran war adds to the pressure on Keir Starmer’s government, a leading thinktank has warned.The National Institute of Economic and Social Research (Niesr) said that even under a best-case scenario the UK economy would grow at a much slower pace this year and next because of the Middle East conflict. Continue reading...

Refusal or silence would increase denial risk under new US guidance requiring applicants to confirm no fear of returnApplicants seeking a temporary visa to the United States must now tell a consular officer that they have not experienced harm and do not fear returning to their home country, according to new guidance issued from the state department. If they answer yes or decline to respond to either question, the chance they will be denied will skyrocket.The Guardian obtained a state department cable which instructs officers at every US embassy and consulate globally to amend their process and ask applicants to affirm they do not fear mistreatment if they return home as a prerequisite for the interview to continue. Continue reading...

Bank’s chief executive points to rising fraud as it sets aside a further £105m for motor finance compensationBusiness live – latest updatesBarclays is pulling back from lending to risky borrowers, as its chief executive warned of increasing numbers of fraud cases and the bank took a £228m hit from the failure of a mortgage lender.The mortgage lender Market Financial Solutions (MFS) collapsed in February amid allegations of fraud and the UK’s financial regulator has since launched an investigation into the scandal. Continue reading...

Case centers on glyphosate, pesticide used in Roundup and other products that has been linked to cancer in some studiesThe US supreme court will hear arguments in a key pesticide regulation case on Monday, setting the stage for a ruling that could weaken the ability of consumers to sue companies for failing to warn of product risks.The case centers on glyphosate – a weed-killing chemical used in the popular Roundup brand and numerous other herbicide products. The chemical has been scientifically linked to cancer in multiple studies, and was classified a probable human carcinogen by an arm of the World Health Organization in 2015. Continue reading...

Experts fear losing ground to virus even as the end of the HIV epidemic is in sight, and say decline in infant testing is ‘particularly concerning’The US government released likely the last report from Pepfar (President’s Emergency Plan for Aids Relief) earlier this month and the chief science officer announced his resignation days later as the US moves to a patchwork of individual partnerships with each country, potentially driven by resource extraction.While more leadership with other countries has long been the goal with global HIV efforts, experts fear the US is moving too quickly without being able to monitor its efforts as well as it has done with Pepfar for more than two decades. They fear losing ground to the virus even as the end of the HIV epidemic is in sight. Continue reading...

Opposition leader also says ‘we have seen terrible acts of atrocity coming from Gaza’ as he doubles down on immigration policyFollow our Australia news live blog for latest updatesGet our breaking news email, free app or daily news podcastThe opposition leader, Angus Taylor, has said “there is a higher risk that some bad people come from those bad countries”, doubling down on his immigration policy and refusing to call out Pauline Hanson’s hardline stance.Speaking to the ABC’s Insiders program on Sunday, Taylor also defended preferencing One Nation above the independent community candidate, Michelle Milthorpe, in the upcoming Farrer byelection, arguing the teals “vote with the Greens”. Continue reading...