Federal Reserve

• Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh is addressing a complex economic narrative as U.S. inflation reaches a three-year high due to energy supply disruptions caused by the Iran war. • The Cleveland Fed's proprietary forecasting tool predicts a modest decline in overall prices for June, offering a glimmer of optimism for Wall Street. • Despite the projected dip, the situation remains precarious because a key inflationary indicator used by the central bank continues to stay stubbornly high.

Greenspan served under the presidencies of Ronald Reagan, George HW Bush, Bill Clinton and George W BushAlan Greenspan, the influential economist who ​steered US ⁠monetary policy ⁠during ​his ‌five ‌terms as chairman ‌of the Federal Reserve ‌under four presidents, ​has died aged 100, ⁠NBC News ​reported ​on ​Monday.In a statement that she shared with the network, Greenspan’s wife, NBC News correspondent Andrea Mitchell, said he died from complications of Parkinson’s disease. Continue reading...

• The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) maintained the target federal funds interest rate in the 3.50%-3.75% range during its June 17 meeting. • This decision aligns with investor expectations as the Federal Reserve seeks to balance the containment of inflation with the need to support labor markets. • Fed policy is critical because it directly influences borrowing costs, savings returns, and general financial conditions across the U.S. economy.

• The European Central Bank raised its deposit facility rate to 2.25% on June 11, marking its first rate hike since 2023. • In contrast, the U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to maintain its federal funds rate between 3.50% and 3.75% during its June 16-17 meeting. • This divergence in monetary policy is driven by the U.S. AI boom, leading the Fed to adopt a less hawkish stance than the ECB.

• The Federal Reserve unanimously decided to keep interest rates steady at a range of 3.5% to 3.75% during its first meeting under new chair Kevin Warsh. • Despite the hold, the Open Markets Committee signaled a potential rate hike before the end of the year, citing that economic activity is currently expanding at a "solid pace." • US stock markets reacted negatively to the signal of future tightening, experiencing a drop on Wednesday afternoon.

• Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh is expected to withhold his "dot plot" projection during the June 2026 meeting, while Bank of America reports at least three members may project further rate hikes for the year. • A rate cut is considered implausible due to rising inflation data, with May's wholesale producer prices (PPI) climbing 6.5% year-over-year and consumer prices (CPI) at 4.2%. • Economic uncertainty persists as G7 tariff discussions and fluctuating oil prices create a murky inflation outlook, despite a recent ceasefire providing some downward pressure.

US central bank makes decision in first meeting under new chair and Trump appointee Kevin WarshThe US Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged for the fourth time this year after its first meeting under new chair, Kevin Warsh, a Donald Trump appointee who has taken over the central bank during a tumultuous time for the US economy.“Economic activity is expanding at a solid pace despite elevated uncertainty that owes, in part, to the conflict in the Middle East,” the Fed’s open market committee said in a short statement. “Productivity growth and capital investment are strong. Job gains have kept pace with the workforce, and the unemployment rate has changed little.” Continue reading...

Powell says central bank has been facing ‘stress test’ under Trump, as supreme court weighs decision on Fed governor that president tried to fireSign up for the Breaking News US newsletter emailJerome Powell, the former chair of the Federal Reserve, has warned that a single act of political interference in monetary policy could permanently destroy public trust in the central bank.As Donald Trump’s administration continues to test the Fed’s longstanding independence, Powell said in a speech on Sunday night that the institution was in the midst of a “stress test”. Continue reading...

• Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman said on May 29 that inflation progress “appears to have stalled,” with total PCE inflation at 3.8% in April and core PCE at 3.3%. • She said the U.S. economy has remained resilient, but noted the labor market is vulnerable to shocks and that growth has slowed since last summer. • The remarks matter because they reinforce the debate inside the Fed over how long to keep rates restrictive while inflation remains above the 2% target.

• Global investment banks are abandoning expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut this year, signaling a hawkish shift in U.S. monetary policy. • A strengthening U.S. dollar is siphoning critical capital away from Asian markets, threatening their ability to fund development, manage bond yields, and support equities. • This trend mirrors previous instabilities, such as the 1997 Asian financial crisis and the 2013 "taper tantrum," where surging dollar values destabilized regional currencies.

• Federal Reserve Vice Chair Philip N. Jefferson said in a May 27 speech that recent U.S. growth has been solid, but he expects a more modest pace ahead. • Jefferson placed the U.S. economy in a global context, pointing to recent international developments while focusing his remarks on domestic conditions and the outlook for growth. • The comments matter because signals from senior Fed officials can influence expectations for interest rates, bond yields, and equity-market pricing.

• Federal Reserve Governor Lisa D. Cook said in a May 27 speech that rapid advances in large language models and agentic AI systems are introducing new ways to detect, exploit, and create vulnerabilities in financial systems. • Cook argued that experimentation with AI must be matched by “strong governance and risk management,” framing AI adoption as both an opportunity and a security challenge for banks and regulators. • The remarks matter because they come from a senior U.S. policymaker focused on how AI could affect the economy, financial stability, and institutional risk controls.

The president’s ultimate goal is to push the Fed – among other independent US institutions – to bend to his willJerome Powell, who stepped down this week as chair of the Federal Reserve, had his hits and misses. The Fed was late to react as prices started rising when the Covid pandemic abated, but they eventually acted forcefully and achieved the most rare of feats: a “soft landing”, curbing inflation without sparking a recession or damaging employment.Strangely, given the chaotic era of pandemic and tariffs that coincided with Powell’s time as chair, monetary policy may not define his legacy. Powell’s most lasting accomplishment will most likely be his outspoken efforts to defend the independence of the Fed from an assault by the imperial presidency of Donald Trump. Continue reading...

Warsh will serve four-year term as chair, taking over amid rising inflation and pressure from Trump to lower ratesThe US Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh as chair of the Federal Reserve, one of the most powerful roles in the federal government that holds enormous sway over the economy.The 54-45 Senate vote on Wednesday was split along party lines, with the exception of Democratic senator John Fetterman from Pennsylvania, who joined the Republican majority. Warsh was confirmed for a four-year term as chair and a 14-year appointment on the Fed’s rate-setting board. Continue reading...

• The Federal Reserve Board issued its Financial Stability Report for May 2026 on May 8, assessing risks amid solid economic growth and market highs. • Report highlights stress from rising oil prices, geopolitical strains, and narrow equity leadership concentrated in AI-driven tech sectors. • Fed signaled no imminent rate cuts after holding steady in late April, citing insufficient inflation progress with core PCE easing but headline above 3.5%.

Warsh would succeed outgoing Fed chair Jerome Powell as Trump continues his push to influence the US central bankSign up for the Breaking News US newsletter email The US Senate is expected to confirm Kevin Warsh this week as chair of the Federal Reserve, as Donald Trump continues his campaign to influence the world’s most important central bank.The Fed’s influence over the economy spans from the job market to mortgage rates, and its every move is carefully scrutinized by investors on Wall Street. Warsh’s confirmation comes at a turbulent time for the central bank, which has fallen under intense scrutiny from Trump for not lowering interest rates. Continue reading...

• The FOMC announced on May 10, 2026, that it is leaving the federal funds rate unchanged at 5.25-5.50%, aligning with market expectations amid ongoing inflation monitoring. • Fed Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to hold a press conference at 2:30pm ET to discuss the decision and economic outlook. • This marks the latest in a series of steady rate holds, reflecting a cautious approach to balancing growth and price stability in the US economy.

• The U.S. Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds rate in the 3.50%-3.75% range at its April 2026 policy meeting. • Decision balances heightened inflation uncertainty, a softening labor market, and geopolitical risks from the Middle East. • Markets remain volatile under President Trump due to tariffs, tax policies, oil price swings, and conflicts, yet stocks have held steady overall.

• The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates at 3.50%-3.75% last week, citing continued economic expansion but persistent inflation linked to energy prices. • Inflation remains elevated with PCE price index up slightly in March to 3.5% year-over-year. • Decision supports market optimism, contributing to S&P 500 nearing its January record high despite Middle East risks.

• The Federal Reserve Board approved an application by OceanFirst Financial Corp on April 24, 2026. • This regulatory greenlight supports the bank's strategic initiatives in the financial sector. • The decision reflects ongoing oversight of mergers and expansions in US banking amid economic shifts.

• The Federal Reserve voted to leave the benchmark federal funds rate unchanged at 3.5% to 3.75% on Wednesday, citing concerns about inflation rising amid the war in Iran. • This marks the continuation of the Fed's pause in rate adjustments following three successive 25-basis-point cuts in September, October, and December 2025. • Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is scheduled to hold a press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET to discuss the decision, marking what could be his final interest-rate announcement as Federal Reserve chair.

• The Federal Reserve released minutes from its April 16 policy meeting, revealing internal division over the appropriate timeline for interest rate cuts, with several governors questioning whether inflation has declined sufficiently to warrant near-term reductions. • Hawks on the committee expressed concern that premature rate cuts could reignite price pressures, while doves argued that pausing at 5.5% risks unnecessarily constraining growth and employment, setting the stage for a contentious May 2 vote. • Market reactions to the minutes were mixed, with bond futures pricing in only a 28% probability of a rate cut by July 2026, down from 35% before the release, while equity index futures declined 0.6% on expectation of extended higher rates.

• The Department of Justice dropped its criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Powell regarding the agency's building expenditures, marking a significant development in federal oversight. • The decision came amid broader discussions on Capitol Hill about federal accountability, with both Republican and Democratic representatives weighing in on the implications. • The outcome reflects shifting priorities in federal investigations and debates over Fed governance and spending practices.

• The Department of Justice has dropped its investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, marking a significant policy shift. • The decision comes amid Trump's emergency economic orders, potentially easing tensions over Fed independence. • This move is viewed as stabilizing financial markets but criticized by conservatives seeking accountability on monetary policy.

The hearing marks a key hurdle Kevin Warsh must overcome in order to succeed Jerome Powell when his term ends on 15 MayHello and welcome to the US politics live blog.President Donald Trump’s choice to lead the Federal Reserve will commit to protecting central bank independence on interest rates at a crucial confirmation hearing later today.Lori Chavez-DeRemer, Donald Trump’s labor secretary, resigned from her role with the administration. She said it was “an honor and a privilege to serve” to serve and that she would take on a job in the private sector. The departure came after she became entangled in a string of political and personal controversies. Democrats celebrated, writing “this administration is imploding”.Chuck Schumer, the Senate minority leader, called for Kash Patel’s immediate resignation following a report from the Atlantic detailing the FBI director’s alleged excessive drinking and absences. Patel has sued the magazine for defamation with his attorneys calling the article a “sweeping, malicious, and defamatory hit piece”.Donald Trump signed memorandums related to coal supply chains, natural gas and grid infrastructure on Monday. The president invoked the Defense Production Act in the energy-related memos, writing that increasing energy production is “essential to United States national defense”.The crowded field of Democratic candidates in the California’s governor’s race appears to be narrowing as Betty Yee — a former state controller— announced Monday she planned to end her campaign. Meanwhile, the California Democratic party chair Rusty Hicks continued to urge candidates trailing in the polls to exit the race. Continue reading...

• President Donald Trump is backing Kevin Warsh as his preferred candidate for Federal Reserve chair, intensifying pressure on current Fed Chair Jerome Powell amid ongoing policy disagreements. • Republican Senator Kevin Cramer discussed the timeline for the CLARITY Act and Trump's strategy to reshape Federal Reserve leadership during an appearance on 'Mornings with Maria.'

Kevin Warsh, seeking to replace Fed chair, Jerome Powell, had to file financial disclosures for Senate approvalKevin Warsh, the former Federal Reserve governor chosen by Donald Trump to lead the central bank, has submitted financial disclosures that suggest he holds assets worth well over $100m.The document is required for his nomination to advance through the Senate, beginning with a yet-to-be-scheduled hearing. Continue reading...

• Kevin Warsh was nominated as the next Federal Reserve Chair, set to succeed Jerome Powell in May 2026. • Warsh, a critic of the Fed’s quantitative easing policies, is viewed by markets as a steady hand amid economic uncertainties. • The nomination comes as PCE inflation rose to 2.9% and core PCE to 3.0% year-on-year in March, aligning with consensus expectations.