Hit Highest

• Citigroup's US Economic Surprise Index reached 63.2, marking its highest level since August 2023. • The surge was driven by actual data for retail sales, employment, and manufacturing significantly exceeding Wall Street's median forecasts. • This deeply positive reading indicates that the US economy is performing meaningfully stronger than analysts had predicted.

• A new report from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program reveals that global conflict levels have reached their highest point since World War II. • The data highlights a surge in one-sided violence in Africa, specifically citing massacres in El Fasher as a primary driver. • This escalation marks the most severe level of one-sided violence seen on the continent since the 1994 Rwandan genocide.

Bond yields soar and pound falls against dollar as investors brace for potential Labour leadership changeBusiness live – latest updatesUK politics live – latest updatesLong-term UK borrowing costs have soared to the highest level in nearly three decades while the pound and stocks fell, as investors braced for a potential change of leadership, with cabinet ministers urging Keir Starmer to quit.Starmer is consulting colleagues before a crunch cabinet meeting on Tuesday morning that comes after ministerial aides quit and more than 70 MPs publicly called for him to go. Continue reading...