Markets

• The Business Times riporta che l'entusiasmo per l'IA ha spinto i mercati al rialzo, con guadagni concentrati in una manciata di aziende tecnologiche a mega-capitalizzazione, mentre gli utili corporate più ampi rimangono indietro rispetto alle valutazioni in forte ascesa. • Hong Kong è emersa come una piattaforma di lancio per le startup di IA, raggiungendo nel primo trimestre del 2026 il massimo di raccolta fondi degli ultimi cinque anni, parallelamente a un aumento dei finanziamenti VC/PE cinesi che hanno superato i 400 miliardi di yuan (59 miliardi di dollari USA). • L'indice ChiNext ha raggiunto il 23 aprile il massimo intraday di 11 anni a 3.785,23, alimentato da fondi che hanno investito in titoli di comunicazione ottica come Zhongji Innolight ed Eoptolink, scommettendo sulla domanda di infrastrutture IA negli Stati Uniti.

• L'indice Kospi della Corea del Sud è balzato del 78% dall'inizio dell'anno, con i titoli di Taiwan tra i migliori performer mondiali di questo mese, mentre gli investitori reindirizzano i flussi di capitale verso l'equity asiatica per la prossima fase del rally globale. • Morgan Stanley prevede che gli investimenti in beni fissi in Asia passeranno da 11 trilioni di dollari nel 2025 a 16 trilioni entro il 2030, spinti dalle infrastrutture AI, dalla sicurezza energetica e dalle spese per la difesa che stanno rimodellando il ciclo industriale della regione. • I giganti dei semiconduttori Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix e Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. sono i principali beneficiari, con la volatilità implicita per Taiwan e Corea che sale a livelli di picco rispetto all'S&P 500, mentre i costi delle opzioni aumentano in mezzo all'entusiasmo degli investitori.

• Singapore's Straits Times Index (STI) dropped 20.06 points or 0.4% to close at 4,921.90 on May 8, 2026, amid a broader regional retreat. • Hongkong Land was the worst performer among STI constituents, plunging 5.2% or US$0.45 to US$8.25. • OCBC bucked the trend, rising 0.2% to S$21.92 after reporting a 5% quarterly net profit increase to S$1.97 billion for Q1 ended March 31.

• JPMorgan analysis shows markets repricing oil-driven inflation risks, with global equities adjusting to potential rate hike scenarios amid recent oil price surges. • Central banks are providing clearer signals on monetary policy, suggesting rate hikes may not materialize as aggressively as feared despite elevated energy costs. • The divergence highlights inflation fears running ahead of underlying economic reality, potentially creating buying opportunities if data moderates.

• Asian stock markets fell broadly on Friday as renewed clashes between the US and Iran strained ceasefire efforts, with missile and drone attacks prompting US retaliatory strikes on Iranian military facilities. • Tokyo's Nikkei 225 dropped 1.1% to 62,174, retreating from a record high of 62,833 reached Thursday, while SoftBank Group lost over 5% and Hong Kong's Hang Seng fell 1.3% to 26,289. • Oil prices climbed amid Middle East uncertainty, with Brent crude rising 1.1% to $101.13 per barrel—roughly 44% higher than pre-war levels in late February.

• Syfe, a regional investment platform, announced it has reached $10 billion in assets under management, marking significant growth in the Asia-Pacific investment sector as of May 2026. • The platform reported a threefold increase in trading activity, driven by investors shifting away from US-only portfolios to explore broader geographic exposure and diversified investment strategies. • The milestone reflects growing investor appetite for digital wealth management solutions in Asia and indicates expanding confidence in regional investment opportunities beyond traditional US-focused strategies.

• Japan's Nikkei 225 Index jumped nearly 6% after returning from holiday, joining South Korean and Taiwanese equities at record peaks on strong AI-driven tech earnings momentum. • South Korea's KOSPI surged 75% year-to-date, the world's best-performing major stock market, while Samsung joined the $1 trillion company club amid the regional rally. • The AI boom is showing disproportionately in Asia compared to U.S. markets, with Taiwan stocks up 45% and Nikkei up 25% for 2026, outpacing the Nasdaq's 11% gain.

• Indian benchmark indices rallied strongly on May 7, 2026, with Sensex gaining nearly 941 points and Nifty closing above 24,300 for the second consecutive day amid broad-based buying. • Gains were led by banking, auto, metal, and pharma sectors, extending the Nifty's positive momentum despite global uncertainties. • The rally signals renewed investor confidence in domestic growth, supported by easing oil prices and positive corporate sentiment.

• Crossfin is broadening its investment focus into emerging markets outside South Africa following successful exits from Retail Capital, Adumo, and iKhokha. • The firm maintains a strong emphasis on Africa but has established a presence in Mauritius with backing for three businesses. • In 2025, Crossfin launched a Singapore-based investment vehicle targeting opportunities in Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and other regions.

• Indian equity indices surged sharply on May 6, 2026, with Sensex gaining 940.73 points (1.22%) to close at 77,958.52 and Nifty rising 298.15 points (1.24%) to 24,330.95, driven by optimism over potential US-Iran peace negotiations and declining crude oil prices. • Banking stocks led the rally following the Union Cabinet's approval of an emergency credit guarantee programme worth Rs 15,800 crore to support businesses facing liquidity stress, with Hero MotoCorp climbing 2.6% and Mahindra & Mahindra advancing 3.1% on strong quarterly earnings. • Broader market indices also gained traction, with Nifty smallcap100 and midcap100 rising 0.9% and 1.1% respectively, though FMCG stocks declined amid easing geopolitical tensions in West Asia that had previously pushed Brent crude to $115 per barrel.

US president briefly pauses ‘Project Freedom’ operation escorting ships through strait of HormuzBusiness live – latest updatesOil prices have eased and stock markets rallied as Donald Trump touted “great progress” towards a “final agreement” with Iran, while momentum in AI-driven trading accelerated.The US president said he would briefly pause his “Project Freedom” operation escorting ships through the strait of Hormuz, which carries about a fifth of the global oil supplies and has been blockaded by Iran since late February, triggering an energy crisis. Continue reading...

• Equity benchmarks Sensex and Nifty closed lower after intraday swings, pressured by spiking crude oil prices above $90/barrel. • Foreign investor outflows accelerated to ₹15,000 crore in April, exacerbating downside in banking and energy sectors. • Auto and FMCG stocks like Maruti Suzuki and ITC provided limited support amid broader risk aversion.

Sarah Breeden predicts ‘adjustment’ due to elevated risk including private credit and highly valued AI stocksBusiness live – latest updatesRecord-high global stock markets do not reflect the risks in the global economy, and will fall back, a deputy governor at the Bank of England has warned.Sarah Breeden, deputy governor for financial stability at the Bank, fears that macroeconomic risks are not fully priced into equity markets. Continue reading...

The gambling crisis ‘demands a public health response’ and should be regulated like alcohol or tobacco, expert says Gambling addiction is spiraling “out of control” in the US, a leading campaigner for stricter guardrails has warned, as experts from around the world are set to gather in Boston to push for more regulation of the industry.The rapid expansion of online gambling, prediction markets and sports betting platforms, “demands a public health response”, according to Harry Levant, director of gambling policy at the Public Health Advocacy Institute (PHAI), urging policymakers to intervene. Continue reading...

FTSE 100 slides and UK gas prices up amid fears strait of Hormuz will be closed for extended periodBusiness live – latest updatesOil prices rose sharply and European stock markets fell on Monday, after the US seizure of an Iranian vessel hit hopes for a peace deal.Brent crude, the international benchmark for oil prices, rose by as much as 5% on Monday to $95.50 (£70.75) a barrel. Continue reading...

• Global financial markets experienced significant volatility during April 12-18, 2026, driven by geopolitical tensions impacting commodity prices. • Oil prices surged higher amid international tensions, affecting energy stocks and broader market sentiment across equities and bonds. • India's retail investor base continues reshaping capital markets, contributing to shifts in the financial landscape alongside global macroeconomic pressures.

• President Trump expressed optimism that an Iran peace deal is 'looking very good,' signaling potential near-term resolution to the US-Iran conflict that has destabilized financial markets. • Investors are actively weighing the likelihood and terms of a potential Iran truce as a key variable influencing near-term market direction and energy price trajectories. • Geopolitical risk premiums embedded in oil prices and equity valuations could face significant repricing if a comprehensive ceasefire agreement is formally announced.

Six lenders, including Bank of America, Morgan Stanley and JP Morgan report jump in first-quarter earningsBusiness live – latest updatesBig US banks raked in nearly $50bn (£37bn) worth of profits in the first three months of the year, as they benefited from stock market turbulence triggered by the US-Israeli war on Iran.Wall Street’s largest lenders have reported a jump in first-quarter earnings, reflecting the surge in demand for trading services as investors dumped risky stocks and bonds and sought safer havens for their cash. Continue reading...

Gas prices also increase, while global stock markets slip back after strong rally on WednesdayBusiness live – latest updatesOil and gas prices rose on Thursday and Asian stock markets retreated as the two-week ceasefire in Iran looked increasingly shaky, with Israel continuing attacks on Lebanon and the US and Iran threatening a return to military action.A day after the US and Iran announced an 11th-hour ceasefire, including an agreement to reopen the strait of Hormuz, many questions remain and there were signs that the truce was already being broken, causing jitters in the markets. Continue reading...

Situation still volatile as Tehran and Washington issue conflicting messages about opening of Hormuz channelA plunge in the oil price, stock market rally and renewed hopes for the global economic outlook. After the announcement of a two-week ceasefire in the Iran war, the relief in financial markets was palpable. But it is far from absolute.For the past six weeks, the economic damage had been steadily mounting, as the effective closure of the strait of Hormuz by Tehran triggered the worst energy crisis of the modern era. Continue reading...

• Oil prices spiked sharply as geopolitical tensions escalated between Iran and the United States following military confrontations. • The U.S. dollar recovered against major currencies as investors sought safe-haven assets amid rising uncertainty. • Energy markets remain volatile with traders closely monitoring developments in Middle East tensions and their impact on global supply chains.

• Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies experienced significant price fluctuations as geopolitical tensions surrounding the Iran conflict escalated, with investors reassessing risk exposure.

• Oil prices surged as geopolitical tensions related to the Iran war intensified, with the Strait of Hormuz blockade causing the largest global oil supply disruption since the 1970s energy crisis. • The US dollar strengthened amid escalating geopolitical risk, reflecting investor flight to safe-haven assets as financial markets react to the conflict's economic impact on energy supplies and global trade.

• The US-Israeli war on Iran, initiated February 28, 2026, with strikes on leadership and nuclear facilities, has led to Iran's Strait of Hormuz closure, rivaling 1970s oil crises. • Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's killing sparked Iranian strikes on Israel and US bases, disrupting 20% of global oil transit and surging prices by 40%. • US markets face inflation risks, with experts warning of recession if chokepoint remains closed beyond two weeks.

Brent crude jumps 6.5% as US president vows to hit Iran ‘extremely hard’ over coming weeksBusiness live – latest updatesOil prices soared and stocks sank after Donald Trump vowed in a televised speech to hit Iran “extremely hard” over the coming weeks, knocking investors hopes of a near-term end to the conflict in the Middle East.Brent crude prices jumped by 6.5% on Thursday morning to more than $107.6 a barrel, reversing Wednesday’s drop when hopes of a de-escalation pushed the international benchmark below the $100-a-barrel mark at one point. Continue reading...

• Asian equity markets surged following signals from Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian indicating willingness to pursue a ceasefire with the United States, with Trump stating military action could conclude within two to three weeks. • South Korea's Kospi jumped 8.1% to 5,461.51, Japan's Nikkei 225 gained 4.5% to 53,352.96, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng rose 2% amid improved investor sentiment. • The geopolitical shift triggered broad rallies across Asia-Pacific exchanges including Australia's ASX 200 climbing 2% and Taiwan's Taiex jumping 4.4%.

US president’s claim that conflict is nearing end prompts 15% drop in Brent crude and stock market climb in AsiaBusiness live – latest updatesOil prices tumbled and stock markets rallied across the world on Wednesday after Donald Trump said the war in Iran would end in “two to three weeks”.Brent crude, the international benchmark for oil, dropped to $99.78 a barrel, down more than 15% compared with its price on Tuesday – its lowest level in a week. Continue reading...

• Equity markets reacted positively after Iranian state media indicated willingness to end the conflict with the US, contingent on certain conditions, as reported in Bloomberg coverage. • President Trump described potential US exit from Iran as 'very soon,' predicting sharp drops in gasoline prices and improved safety from neutralized nuclear threats. • The month-long war has spiked fuel costs, affecting grocery prices as noted by industry figures like Stew Leonard Jr.