Tensions

• Amerikaanse president Donald Trump arriveerde op 13 mei 2026 in Beijing voor een staatsbezoek en gesprekken op hoog niveau met de Chinese president Xi Jinping over belangrijke bilaterale en mondiale kwesties. • Belangrijke agendapunten zijn de handelsgeschillen tussen de VS en China, toeleveringsketens van zeldzame aardmetalen, de politieke status van Taiwan, de concurrentie op het gebied van kunstmatige intelligentie en het aanhoudende conflict in Iran. • De top is een cruciale diplomatische ontmoeting die erop gericht is de strategische concurrentie tussen de VS en China te beheersen en de risico's op militaire escalatie te verminderen.

• Indian equities are expected to remain highly sensitive to geopolitical developments this week, with markets tracking the ongoing US-Iran situation and fluctuating crude oil prices that could trigger sharp movements in large-cap stocks. • Foreign investors have withdrawn Rs 14,231 crore from Indian equities so far in May amid global macroeconomic uncertainties, signaling reduced confidence in the market amid external headwinds. • Key macroeconomic releases this week include India's April CPI inflation data and US inflation prints (CPI and PPI), which analysts warn could materially shape Federal Reserve rate-cut expectations and global risk sentiment.

Israeli PM says he has ‘full coordination’ with US president amid reports that Washington no longer consults himBenjamin Netanyahu interrupted an uncharacteristically long silence over the Iran conflict this week with a video commentary insisting he had “full coordination” with Donald Trump, with whom he spoke “almost daily”.The insistence that all was rosy in the US-Israeli relationship followed weeks of reports in the domestic press that Israel was no longer being consulted over the Iran conflict, and even less over Pakistani-brokered peace talks. Such is the scepticism over Netanyahu’s trustworthiness among the general public and independent press that the immediate reaction among observers to his video statement was speculation that the reality could be even worse than they had imagined. Continue reading...

• Asian stock markets fell broadly on Friday as renewed clashes between the US and Iran strained ceasefire efforts, with missile and drone attacks prompting US retaliatory strikes on Iranian military facilities. • Tokyo's Nikkei 225 dropped 1.1% to 62,174, retreating from a record high of 62,833 reached Thursday, while SoftBank Group lost over 5% and Hong Kong's Hang Seng fell 1.3% to 26,289. • Oil prices climbed amid Middle East uncertainty, with Brent crude rising 1.1% to $101.13 per barrel—roughly 44% higher than pre-war levels in late February.

• The US military carried out strikes targeting Iranian facilities in the Strait of Hormuz area on May 7, 2026, according to Pentagon statements, marking a significant escalation in ongoing US-Iran hostilities. • Iran's state media claimed the US violated a ceasefire agreement by targeting an Iranian tanker, while the Pentagon stated it targeted Iranian facilities responsible for attacks on US forces. • The strikes occur amid negotiations over a potential nuclear deal, with Trump having previously issued ultimatums to Iran and allies, raising concerns about the fragility of diplomatic efforts.

• Asian stock markets retreated from recent record peaks as escalating Middle East tensions revived concerns over crude oil supply disruptions and energy price stability. • The geopolitical escalation triggered steep losses in oil markets, reversing earlier gains and creating volatility across regional equity indices. • Rising energy supply concerns underscore the fragility of the recent market rally despite strong AI sector performance, with investors reassessing risk exposure to conflict-affected regions.

Turmoil and violence rocks state since prime minister Narendra Modi’s party claimed victory in legislative electionTensions have been high in the Indian state of West Bengal after a top political aide from Narendra Modi’s party was shot dead in the street and hundreds were arrested as violence broke out following elections this week.The prime minister’s Bharatiya Janata party (BJP) claimed victory in the West Bengal elections on Monday, defeating Trinamool Congress (TMC), which had ruled over the state legislature for 15 years. Continue reading...

Profits jump to £122m at ticketing retailer but it expects flat or declining revenues over the coming year Business live – latest updatesTrainline has said the US standoff with Iran is hitting its revenues, with rail ticket sales to foreign visitors to Europe affected.The UK-based ticketing retailer said it expected revenues to stay flat or decline over the coming year, citing “the effects of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East on inbound air traffic into Europe”. Continue reading...