Treasury

• US S&P 500 futures hovered near flat Friday morning as investors balanced elevated borrowing costs, sticky inflation and Middle East tensions pushing energy prices. • 10-year Treasury yield held at 4.41%, pressuring credit cards and business loans, while 30-year mortgage rates reached 6.38%, making home buying costlier. • Spain's inflation at 3.3% underscores persistent living costs; interest-rate sensitive sectors like banks, real estate and small caps face tighter credit conditions.

• The US Treasury Department is preparing to place President Donald Trump's signature on every new US paper bill, marking the first time for a sitting president, according to an anonymous Treasury official speaking to the Associated Press on Thursday. • Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's signature will also appear, with Bessent stating 'there is no more powerful way to recognize the historic achievements of our great country' than with dollar bills bearing Trump's name. • This initiative coincides with efforts to feature Trump's image on a 24-karat gold commemorative coin for America's 250th birthday on July 4, approved earlier this month by a federal arts commission.

• The Treasury Department's FSOC and AITO launched the AI Innovation Series, a public-private initiative with four roundtables convening financial institutions, tech firms, and regulators on high-value AI use cases. • Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated, 'Leadership in AI adoption is a crucial component of economic security,' shifting regulation from constraint to enabling productivity-enhancing tech. • Deputy Assistant Secretary Christina Skinner emphasized AI's role in fraud detection, credit allocation, and operational resilience for financial stability.

• The U.S. Department of the Treasury issued its March 2026 congressional report under the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins Act of 2025, addressing innovative technologies to counter illicit finance in digital assets. • The report covers mixers, obfuscation services, and stablecoin transactions on distributed ledgers, aligning with Trump Administration priorities for privacy protection and reduced regulatory burden. • It outlines the Bank Secrecy Act framework, AML programs, and updates from the 2020 Anti-Money Laundering Act to strengthen regulations against money laundering and terrorism financing.

• U.S. Treasury issued its March 2026 congressional report under the 2025 GENIUS Act on innovative technologies countering illicit finance in digital assets and stablecoins. • Report addresses mixers, tumblers, and obfuscation services on distributed ledgers, proposing frameworks aligned with administration priorities on privacy and regulatory burden. • Builds on 2021 AML Act and BSA authorities for AML/CFT programs, information sharing among financial institutions, and modernizing rules against money laundering and terrorism financing.

US 10-year Treasury yields approached 4.5% on March 13, 2026, fueled by inflation worries and oil-driven pressures. This climb raises questions on potential changes to President Trump's economic policies if thresholds are breached. Markets eye bond market stress alongside equity declines for signals. Upcoming data releases could dictate Federal Reserve responses in coming months.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is set to meet Chinese officials next week for a new round of trade negotiations, as US markets grapple with oil disruptions from Middle East conflicts. The talks aim to address tariffs and supply chain issues exacerbated by the Strait of Hormuz blockage. President Trump's energy team monitors surging prices, with industry leaders consulted on naval escort options. Economists predict outcomes could influence global commodity stability and US inflation rates.