Oil Prices

• Il fallimento di una proposta di pace durante il fine settimana ha spinto al rialzo i prezzi del petrolio e i rendimenti dei Treasury a 10 anni lunedì mattina, mentre i futures sugli indici azionari hanno aperto in lieve ribasso. • La scorsa settimana i mercati avevano ignorato i rischi geopolitici, con il petrolio in calo a causa dei commenti sul cessate il fuoco in Iran, ma le rinnovate tensioni hanno invertito tale tendenza in un contesto di volatilità energetica globale. • I prezzi del gas sono aumentati a livello nazionale, complicando le prospettive sull'inflazione con l'indice CPI headline sopra il 3,5% nonostante l'allentamento del PCE core, oscurando le possibilità di un taglio dei tassi da parte della Fed.

• Asian stock markets fell broadly on Friday as renewed clashes between the US and Iran strained ceasefire efforts, with missile and drone attacks prompting US retaliatory strikes on Iranian military facilities. • Tokyo's Nikkei 225 dropped 1.1% to 62,174, retreating from a record high of 62,833 reached Thursday, while SoftBank Group lost over 5% and Hong Kong's Hang Seng fell 1.3% to 26,289. • Oil prices climbed amid Middle East uncertainty, with Brent crude rising 1.1% to $101.13 per barrel—roughly 44% higher than pre-war levels in late February.

• The S&P 500 fell 0.4% or 28.01 points to 7,337.11 on Thursday, retreating from its all-time high, while the Dow dropped 313.62 points or 0.6% to 49,596.97 and Nasdaq slipped 0.1% or 32.75 points to 25,806.20. • Oil prices yo-yoed due to Wall Street's waiting on hopes for a deal to end the Iran war, with earlier sharp swings from dashed expectations of reopening the Strait of Hormuz; Iran created a government agency to vet and tax vessels passing through, potentially raising fuel costs. • Standouts included Axon Enterprise rallying 10.6% after raising its revenue forecast due to counter-drone product growth, and Albemarle rising 3% on better-than-expected results, while Shake Shack tumbled 28.3% and Whirlpool fell 11.9% on weak earnings.

• Asian stock markets retreated from recent record peaks as escalating Middle East tensions revived concerns over crude oil supply disruptions and energy price stability. • The geopolitical escalation triggered steep losses in oil markets, reversing earlier gains and creating volatility across regional equity indices. • Rising energy supply concerns underscore the fragility of the recent market rally despite strong AI sector performance, with investors reassessing risk exposure to conflict-affected regions.

• Brent crude futures rose 88 cents or 0.9% to $102.15 a barrel, while WTI advanced $1.12 or 1.2% to $96.20, trimming prior 7% losses after US President Donald Trump called direct talks with Iran premature. • A senior Iranian lawmaker dismissed the US peace proposal as a 'wish list' rather than practical, amid demands to halt Tehran's nuclear program and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. • Markets assess if Middle East peace efforts will succeed, with strategist Hiroyuki Kikukawa noting discussions may continue until the US-China summit but uncertainty persists afterward.

• Indian equity indices surged sharply on May 6, 2026, with Sensex gaining 940.73 points (1.22%) to close at 77,958.52 and Nifty rising 298.15 points (1.24%) to 24,330.95, driven by optimism over potential US-Iran peace negotiations and declining crude oil prices. • Banking stocks led the rally following the Union Cabinet's approval of an emergency credit guarantee programme worth Rs 15,800 crore to support businesses facing liquidity stress, with Hero MotoCorp climbing 2.6% and Mahindra & Mahindra advancing 3.1% on strong quarterly earnings. • Broader market indices also gained traction, with Nifty smallcap100 and midcap100 rising 0.9% and 1.1% respectively, though FMCG stocks declined amid easing geopolitical tensions in West Asia that had previously pushed Brent crude to $115 per barrel.

US president briefly pauses ‘Project Freedom’ operation escorting ships through strait of HormuzBusiness live – latest updatesOil prices have eased and stock markets rallied as Donald Trump touted “great progress” towards a “final agreement” with Iran, while momentum in AI-driven trading accelerated.The US president said he would briefly pause his “Project Freedom” operation escorting ships through the strait of Hormuz, which carries about a fifth of the global oil supplies and has been blockaded by Iran since late February, triggering an energy crisis. Continue reading...

US president pauses ‘Project Freedom’ to work on ‘final agreement’ with Tehran; stocks also ride high on AI euphoriaGood morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of business, the financial markets and the world economy.Asian stock markets hit record highs, following in Wall Street’s footsteps, and oil prices retreated after Donald Trump hailed “great progress” towards a “final agreement” with Tehran.on the request of Pakistan and other Countries, the tremendous Military Success that we have had during the Campaign against the Country of Iran and, additionally, the fact that Great Progress has been made toward a Complete and Final Agreement with Representatives of Iran”.Investors bought and continue to add to positioning in the 2026 winners. There has been some buying in S&P 500 materials stocks, but it’s tech that continues to attract the bulk of flows, notably in Apple and the memory plays.9am BST: Eurozone services and composite PMIs for April9.30am BST: UK services and composite PMIs for April1.15pm BST: US ADP employment change for April Continue reading...